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Hopium is strong in here, and I’m here for it! If anything December looks to feature some cold in the east and the southern stream looks to become active. Volatile seems like a good word

Doing jah's work with these wbell posts

I’ve been sidelined from work since November 6th dealing with a lower back injury. Things are looking good that I’ll be cleared tomorrow to go back to work on 12/1. So, of course, a potential winter storm may dump a foot right before I go back & my 20 year old Explorer is immediately put to the test.

EPS mean also went up since the 18z run. 00z vs 18z below

Like the GFS, the Euro does have some marginal surface temps from about midnight to 6am Sunday morning from Chicago south and east. Temps aloft, however, looks to remain below 0°C during the event until you get south of Kankakee and into Indiana. At 925mb, this is the warmest frame. Air above that is solidly below 0°C.

Definitely! And thus, the totals ticked up decently from the 18z run.

before reading, initial instinct was 2011-2012 lol. that's wild, forgot that happened.

0z Euro has it too. More of a hit for the LV/Poconos but it's there.

We are in midseason form. Gfs big yes. Dr no big no

Oh Im at hour 144 and thought it might be a bit better

Euro nudged south. We are right back in this ballgame.

The GFS ended up with multiple fronts and a couple of shots of wintery precip for the forum area.

'Next to December now. And still got 3+ in. hailers (and likely over 80 DBZ reflectivity and 55 Kft storm tops), in the state tonight..

AIFS suppressed. Toss. EURO amped. Average them out

Over in the MA forum. Sometimes I get lost...

Where is the snow map?

0z GEFS is slightly drier/south compared to 18z. So the GFS and GEFS moved towards each other this run.

A thing of beauty upstairs too.

GEFS is awful.... ...if you hate snow! There's a substantial increase in the mean from 18z and 12z.

So ugly. What a brutal game.

Gefs look as good as can be expected at this point imho with the threat.

midnight and there's a fuck ton of people online. it's winter already

UKMET = very nice

UKIE also a substantial hit 5” when the run ends with more to go