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Don't think anyone cares about the JMA but the 12z is stronger than previous runs

Psu, don't know if you've checked, but NWS gives you 3-6" thru Sunday night with a blanket forecast of "Snow" for Monday without stating accumulations. It's a close call, but 6-10" is probably a decent gues at this point imho.

35, even 40" on the east facing slopes of the Worcester Hills

I was looking at mid-level lapse rates, and there’s like an EML advecting in lol.

I have missed them too. Been on the western edge of the big beach storms, with 5-7". Done well with moderate snows in the last few winters, but all under 10" (One was 9) Last double digit storm here was 2016 and that was pretty crappy because of the dry slot. No deform snow at all.

Since when have I got upset that it’s not snowing? I haven’t. I say who cares. I don’t.

A few commnts on the NBM. Some think the high amounts are all due to the GFS/NAM being part of the blend and that's partly true, but snow ratios are also part of it as can be seen by just looking at the QPF vs. snowfall maps, as there's nowhere with >2.4" of QPF, but many locations getting >24" of snow even along the coast and inland with maybe 1.5" of QPF. The NBM table above says they use a combo of max temp aloft (Kuchera, I assume) and the Cobb method for generating ratios. So those 10:1 maps are likely underestimates.

I think Monmouth (maybe N Ocean) good to go, but south of there not sure on temps, ratios, and axis

Oh I know them.

Maybe the interstates, but secondary & back roads will be covered. Rates usually overcome borderline temperatures. We are still in February…

Sounds about right, but of course this isn't the popular opinion on this board. It seems like everyone wants to hear 10+ throughout the region.

He just posted it!

They're locked in no matter what happens unless it somehow came onshore

Tossed a few in this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3qBy6wSFRxU

For everyone here, he’s full of it. Don’t let him lie to you lol, he’s just like us including hoff. Love him to death but I’ve seen too many Jekyll and Hyde texts about this to know, and I’ve sent the same shit. Let’s just get some good breaks later today and at game time.

I’m sure they will be putting their updated Advisories & Warnings this afternoon.

Definitely won't during the day, maybe at night if it snows hard enough.

Yep...its weather. No need to be a drama queen about it all the time.

My jma dead nuts same spot every run. Only stronger/deeper.

I mean the start is less than 20 hours away, NWS going to wait until it starts snowing to upgrade to a warning/downgrade to advisory

Yeah mb, was talking about the second one, not the first

Is there a link?

Yeah, not Feb 5. Feb 9-10.

Triple (if you mean 2/5/10). They got closer to 20 in the follow up blizzard.

People get too worked up over this stuff. Over the last 2 years I learned to just let it go. Do I want snow? Sure. Am I going to freak out over it not? No