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That part I got, I meant literally what is "smarch" a combination of if morch is march+torch

If modeling is correct, More snow in March then Feb up here, Great timing.

40F and overcast warmer temperature fail

Hopefully it’s a slow spring melt.

In my Atmo/Weather lab we're analyizing the soundings from this monday and making a scew T chart.

Euro has chances for New England going forward

What blizzard?

Remember who led the way with the blizzard.

12z GFS was blowing it up pretty quickly, But i would be hesitant as other models are much tamer over the duration.

Sure…I’ll buy it for an event total. Just not 2” in 12hrs. GFS is overzonked.

Normal highs in Chicago are approaching 50 now and mid 40s in Milwaukee. You're acting like a 55 degree day in chicago is a big deal. There's still a giant pool of well below normal temperatures in Canada so there's potential for some nasty shallow cold on NE winds even if the upper heights aren't low or the 850 temps aren't that cold. If you were talking about St Louis or Kansas City then that's a different story.

12z Euro AI has 1.5"+ too.

This one looks more accurate than the one u posted a few weeks ago

I probably should have been more clear in my post. I was referencing the MJO impacting the developing Nino. The strong phase 7 and 8 in 2023 was looked at as an indication that the Nino could get very strong. This year it's in 7 and 8 again but weaker. I just thought it was interesting.

What happened?

March 2023 was very cold in the west though, so completely different patterns.

Low 60's is well above normal for this time of year. And what rain on the weekend? Maybe Sunday night Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Sunday Night Rain likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Rain likely before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Snowy day at Bowdoin https://www.bowdoin.edu/webcams/coles.html

he’s implying we’re going back into a cold and wintry pattern, which isn’t true at all aside from a couple brief, seasonal cool shots.

I'm sorry I'm pretty sure I understand the vibe but what is smarch again

not really

Soundings are pretty cold here too. 2” of snow QPF in 12hrs is tossed though.

Road was opened sometime during the night finally. Was beginning to think they forgot but I know this area is far from a priority. Some sun and low 30's for the drive in. Just a phenomenal snowpack in place.

Hahaha