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Based off the 12z Euro and 18z GFS, it would not surprise me to see Mt. Holly hoist a watch for their zones on Maryland's eastern shore into Delaware and S. Jersey.

looks closer to euro now, maybe a hair worse. wish we could buy another tick or two with that stuff just off shore

Gfs is nice man. I think the spot to be for this one is Wilmington to south Jersey.

Gfs definitely better. Decent event s coast.

Maybe I’ll eek out that inch after all.

For reference my hometown of Wilmington, DE hasn’t seen a 6” snowfall since March 2018 while I’m pretty sure almost everyone else on this forum and northward has. Unfathomably bad luck.

I'll take my 1-2" and call it a day from the 18z GFS

Its always the youngest. The great Kahali

Seems the "death band" is a bit earlier... now more around 09z

Ya spreads more NW. finally in some accumulation on the gfs here. Keep it coming.

Gfs looks decent to me

GFS a teeny bit more NE but really just noise. Still fine around DC. Best stuff definitely NE MD plummeled

GFS should be an improvement over 12z

You don’t look it!

The RGEM would certainly make more people happy, but it doesnt really fit the specific features driving this event- it simply looks like the more impressive precip(snow) will fall in a relatively localized area. Hard to envision 4" in Frederick to N central Carroll Co AND 4-5" from N DE to Philly into in SNJ.

Yes. We've had it bad in this subforum, but the eastern shore and south jersey has effectively been on weenie suicide warning for almost a decade.

In my sig (TH 7NW hasn't updated yet. Observer sends in every 2 weeks or so)

Can you please post the map?

It’s been reliably the most robust of the guidance for this upcoming event. Really living up to its predecessor.

Yeah it has been a historical shaft to say the least! Would be so good to get this one

I hope the broader Baltimore crew hits on this one. 4 plus inches. They're due

Hasn't that area been constantly shafted the last several years even though we had good snows the last couple of winters? I'm rooting hard for you folks up there!

Figured why not. Anyways, unless you're close to the llvl fronto, I don't see much in the way to assist with QPF blossoming moving poleward from the developing llvl fronto band. As was stated, there could be some dry air concerns on the northern fringes of the precipitation shield and with some strengthening evidence for a more pronounced llvl fronto band, I do think there could be some room for subsidence skunking. I could see 3-5" across Long Island and probably some amounts in that range too possibly along the south coast. It's really the south coast at this point which has room for anything exceeding 2". Where stronger lift can occur will benefit from the ratios. But overall I see a pretty bland looking precipitation area outside of right where the llvl fronto is

Orzo it seems.