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I mean you can loop them, but looks like garbage until mid month especially down here. And even after that doesn’t exactly move the needle for me.

Not what they show. Maybe to start?

You know more than me Scott. I figure 2-4” tues pm Wednesday maybe ends as drizzle. Then it warms up a bit but maybe it not too much. Then the week of the 11th gets interesting. That’s my takeaway. The hint towards a colder trend in 0z guidance? I don’t look at models I just read others’ interpretations.

Not here.. i think it will be snow or a mix

Ya , clean the rods off Wednesday through Sunday with 40s and 50s. Then we reshuffle.

Looks like Ray @40/70 Benchmark was right about the SPV strengthening in January……

Pattern looks like garbage until mid month.

Yeah he’s NW or concord. But not sure what GYX means by cooler trends.

GFS and Canadian are close for him Tuesday PM. rain pike south .. maybe 1-3” Monday too for Mass and points north

Looks cool to me

Looks mild with a cutter end of the week.

For rain

Ji would be in heaven!! https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/80-inches-of-snow-in-juneau-alaska-smashes-record-sinks-boats/1849220

Three fresh inches of snow at Mammoth, and plow guy is already at it in the Woolly Lot. They are supposed to get 5 inches by sunrise there then 24 more inches piled on today Jan 3. That's just today's snow. Then even more tonight and Sunday, Sunday night and on into Monday, then even MOAR storms in the Pacific Set. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam Pacific conveyor belt is piling on more moisture thru the Channel Islands NNE on into Mammoth, it's just one long moisture-laden conveyor. Moisture is being smashed against the Sierras then thrust upward 11000 feet then condenses into moar and moar heavy snow that will pile on all weekend on into Monday.

From GYX ASOUT .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Evening Update... No notable deviation from the NBM tonight, but we will be keeping a closer eye on a system for Wednesday. Monday starts the week on a cold note with highs in the teens to low 20s. Scattered snow showers are possible Monday night as a warm front lifts through the area, marking the start of a warming trend for midweek. Models have been consistently showing a substantial warm up for mid to late week, but recent runs from the Euro, and especially the Euro AI put this into more question. They have started to show a round of wintry precip for Wednesday with colder air in place, and have a more muted warm up through the end of the week. Other models have just started to show this trend on the latest 00z runs for the first time. We`ll have to see if this trend continues, but with the Euro family often leading the pack it looks increasingly likely that the forecast will be trending cooler for mid to late next week.

Starting to make my way back home. Can’t get over how gorgeous the Alps are. Picture taken at Fort La Redoute right on the Italy/France border at 7900 ft, with Mt Blanc in the background (La Thuile/La Rosiere ski area)

0z EPS is much cooler than the GEFS in the extended

Overnight models really like Tuesday night/ Wednesday morning

It was actually an impressive -WPO/-PNA hybrid December.. +300dm anomaly for the month is rare. -PNA doesn't go real warm in the Northeast in December And -WPO is cold in December (default is positive, so it's opposite) The combination of those two gave us almost perfectly the anomaly composition for the month. Although it is interesting that the Southwest and Lower Midwest were so warm.. even though the pattern supports a ridge there, it did go much more extreme than the usual correlation. 2021 also had a +300dm N. pacific ridge, although it was more RNA-oriented

ill be watching January 15th timeframe for something big!

Followup: 0Z vs 12Z Chicago lowest min (F) Jan 6+: Euro: -15 vs +22 EPS: +16 vs +22 GFS: +29 vs +30 GEFS: +25 vs +25 So, whereas Euro suite is colder, GFS suite is unchanged

Some good articles on this one! Here’s one from Skilling: https://wgntv.com/weather/weather-blog/chicagos-heart-attack-snowstorm-of-dec-15-1987/amp/

That’s a top-notch list to make if you are hoping for a snowy rest of the winter as well. I genuinely do not understand how any winter wx lovers in the Tri-State found December disappointing. Plenty of reasons for optimism this year after a string of true ratters.

I was on the rail trail up here. I’m not knowledgeable enough to know if the trails are in good condition but a lot of folks were out today, hikers and riders.

Nah-it's done.