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A few showers are possible overnight as a warm front moves across the region. The weekend will be unseasonably mild with tomorrow being the warmest day. Highs Tomorrow will likely reach the lower and perhaps middle 60s. Newark could again approach or reach 70°. A strong cold front will then bring this season's coldest temperatures so far early next week. It could trigger some showers or a thunderstorm Sunday evening or Sunday night. Afterward, lows would fall well into the 30s in New York City while highs struggle to reach the middle and upper 40s during the height of the early-season chill. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +29.26 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.721 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.5° (0.5° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

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Wright Weather before it.

This probably sums up most of it… I still think the whole issue isn’t about people believing the earth is warming or not (again, not talking causality). I don’t think it’s as much not believing science either. Hysteria, doom, and trying to change people’s behaviors are when the plot was lost. I bet most of the US would be in agreement if it weren’t for those few factors added to the discourse.

And the Clean Air and Water Act amendment of 1970 did a lot to fix it. Why not keep going though? It’s sad, but there is no way that Act passes in the United States today.

If you want blood… we got it!!’

Can we finally get back to what this thread is about? Anything coming down the pipeline in the next few weeks as far as some snow chances?

Because every scientist doesn't agree with all of the climate disaster group think? Many many very well educated scientists have don't agree with current media driven group think.

Maybe but all the condescending bullshit added. You have been doomsdayer for the 20 years I have known you. You are an extremely likeable person in person but you don't post like you speak. By the way an amazing stat.The world has had an incredible reduction in climate caused deaths. The agricultural boom is allowing more people to thrive, more Co2 more agriculture. There are positives and we as humans adapt quickly. I have zero sympathy for people who bult on swamps barrier beaches. The world isn't ending we are evolving with it.

Fight fight fight !!! LFG!

https://kidsanswers.org/why-does-wind-blow/

my perspective is somewhat different, it seems to me that "what went wrong in America" is too many Americans have rejected science and stopped believing scientists in the last 30 years, which is odd, since the scientists today know so much more than what was known 30 years ago

The jog to the west right before landfall caused him to miss the eye. Looking forward to his analysis when he gets back from the Philippines. I was hoping another chaser nailed the eye.

Ok so I am guessing nobody did. Certainly not when it was a stadium effect.

That much snow in south Texas would be historic, but we saw what happened last winter..

Daniel Defoes situational observation, made over 300 years ago, seems well suited for the present condition. As always …..

Is there a place that does the 2-6 week forecasts for GEFS and EPS for free, or do you have to pay for it?

The truth hurts, Steve? I didn't say anything untrue There's nothing elitist about subject matter that you either don't understand, or just don't believe in. Either way... . You've always been a truculent insufferable blue collar nimrod with clear resentment issues over your station, who's also routinely lied about your env sci creds over the years - made patently obvious whenever you type - and then hide over the internet when being disrespectful. If someone has clad argument other than abstinence, I'm sure the consensus here will be glad to engage with them. You you and him ...and people like you are on the wrong side of history and truth. How's that for elitist - eat shit.

Yeah, some really think the troughing on the 18z… **reads thread above** (don't attack me it’s all jokes )

are you referring to yourself ?

Don't know your age but you ain't seen water and air pollution unless you lived in the 60s. Awful air and water

The Ravens weren't very good that season and missed the playoffs, but that game was wild in the snow.

We haven't had a Week 3-4 this cold since January last year.

This post is from a guy who ignores science occurring in real time. Good lord

we are polluting the atmosphere we all rely on for life, I imagine that makes all of us somewhat uncomfortable, to some degree