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Not enough time to wobble a bit?

Feels like October out there. So weird as they kept saying it was going to be hot again by the end of the week. Need some rain but other than that pretty much perfect.

Ginxy probably could.

Ha yeah that wasn't meant for you to answer. It was more of a forum question if anyone could verify.

May-July has high-level similarities to a 2013/2022 blend. Would be a fairly severe winter, and probably not a La Nina technically, more cold-neutral. It's the pseudo cold AMO/Atlantic May-July look with strong highs by NW Asia. It is dislocated further south on the Pacific side though. CFS has essentially La Nina conditions until Dec, then neutral. For Albuquerque I've always found a strong direct correlation in La Nina in Nov-Feb cold days/cold waves (5F or more below daily mean) and ACE. But it doesn't work in Neutrals. ACE ahead of 2024-25 was 161.6. Cold day projection (ACE correlation image is from my 2022 winter forecast) Cold Days = (-0.1177 x 161.6) + (42.063) = 23 cold days Nov-Feb (daily average 5F or more below avg). So the 2024-25 La Nina strengthened the long-term trend. Observed cold days in 2024-2025 - Nov: 6 Dec: 1 Jan: 17 Feb: 0 Total: 24 Love it or hate it, the math is the math. Right now there is no sign of an imminent huge burst in the Atlantic and we should have borderline La Nina conditions in the Fall. I don't expect the actual winter to be cold here, but I could see Oct 15-Jan 15 running cold, or Feb 15-Apr 15 running cold. Most likely outcome? Three of five months in those two periods cold here from what I can see. In 2022, we had already had a major hurricane by now and finished below 100 ACE for what its worth while 2013 had no hurricanes until September. I can see the late Fall turning pretty cold nationally after a warm start. But it should be centered on the Plains and only bleed out to the West and East.

Tonight might be the coolest night of this this beautiful stretch of weather, with HP nearly overhead, calm winds, and mostly clear skies.

I restore decks for a living. Let me know if you need anything. This is rare air for this time of the year. It's amazing out here.

You could tell pretty early that the 12z Euro would be OTS. All just noise at this point. No model is going to nail the strength of ridges/troughs and the placement of weaknesses at this range.

Bring it on. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1BzbQkworb/

I'm outside replacing some deck boards. Fucking amazing, except for one damn mosquito that keeps trailing me. 78/58

Euro east. It’s over.

Why are you creeping ages of posters? Amazing that they ever let you anywhere near youth sporting events. Don't they have background checks In Connecticut?

Ok…

Take it up with the author. He claims to be a climate guy??? Verification is not in my job description. Posting s*** I see on Twitter is what I do.

Hold up. Where in CT has gone 12-13 days without a dew point greater than 70F only once since 1949? I feel like we used to have entire summer months, even down there, without dew points in the 70s?

12z Euro ots

Wait till winter.

Yup. Dews return for a while starting Monday.

Gorgeous day out. Can't ask for any better except for maybe a good soaking rain...

Posting and following another 12 year old boy . Interesting ..They’ll be 70+ Monday or Tuesday onwards an incredible deep summer is about to unfold . Taste it son

***** Today's weather gets a perfect review. Sounds like there's possibility of EWW being posted in the 2pm update.

And the Euro doesn't have as much activity Wednesday night and Thursday. The rain threat doesn't look great right now. It's really gonna be ugly by next weekend if we don't get any rain.

Front lawn is brown and dormant. Whatevs.

No dewst yet. Top 2 comfortable start to a summer month ever.

Euro pretty much too. Maybe a slight break on Friday