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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully we get an east trend. Just 75-100 Miles as a Crow flies. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
FXWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yes... There is a link to a version that shows amounts as you mouse over the map... -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
ma blizzard replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
1" of QPF in 3 hrs in an isothermal profile .. would could go wrong -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I volunteer -
Texas 2025 Discussion/Observations
Powerball replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Today will really kncok down the monthly average, but it should still up being a top 5 (if not top 3) warmest November on record for DFW. In addition, on the heels of 2024 which was the 3rd warmest Autumn on record for DFW, 2025 id on track for a top 5 or top 3 warmest Autumn as well. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That track would destroy us verbatim. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
NAM is leaving SNH powerless -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ll take the 3k solution. But I’d even take half rain for 2” QPF for the well. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We could do worse -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
SnowGoose69 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Next year the RRFS is supposed to replace it -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
986mb over the outer cape. -
I think you're good for an inch+
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Someday the NAM will be put out to pasture. I’m sure someone will chime in saying it is useful for something or other. As Jeff mentioned, it is decent at finding those pesky warm tongues. But oof. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I feel you! -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Sorry but that's laughable. They throw throw the whole kitchen sink in and call it "implicit subsidies". Traffic congestion is a fossil fuel subsidy? Why would traffic congestion from an ICE vehicle be any more a subsidy than than for an EV? Can you somehow magically fit EV's into a smaller space or something? I just bought some groceries at the local supermarket. I'm guessing that somehow fits into their "implied subsidies" bucket. No - renewable energy is far more subsidized than fossil, by about 30x as much. Lots of data here: https://www.cato.org/blog/fossil-fuel-subsidies-are-mostly-fiction-real-energy-subsidies-should-go https://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.pdf https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/fossil-fuels/renewable-energy-still-dominates-energy-subsidies-in-fy-2022/ -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nam is a furnace in a good chunk of SNE. -
I think you have been fine. You have as much right to your opinion as anybody else.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
NAM back to a no show for SNE -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
FXWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Don't dismiss the possibility that interior districts cancel? This day and age many Supts hate dismissing during an ongoing snowfall? If it's going to start snowing during or shortly after the commuting period, and it's going to continue through the afternoon, many will bail. -
That’s not that early, especially for the n/w burbs. In 3 months it’ll be March lol.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
kdxken replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It's a great place. Used to spend my summers down there. Worked at the boat yard unofficially as a kid for tips. -
2-4” dc metro (mean)
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well it does say experimental. It’s a forecast based on probability and confidence and the confidence just isn’t there right now. But yeah, I’m not sure how helpful 1-12” is.
