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I found it interesting that only 4 winters since 1970 had 5 or more inches of snow for both December and March. Its usually one or the other except for extreme winters like 93/94, 95/96, 02/03 and 17/18. Even the great winter of 13/14 was a shutout in March.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College PA 3/19/2026: It's been 6 weeks. Since Groundhog Day: Harrisburg has swung from colder than normal to generally warmer than normal. There hasn't been much snow at all. What did Phil say? -
Another morning, more clouds
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Everyone says how bad the clouds are in the great lake region, especially the snowbelts off Ontario. I've been following and comparing it to here. We seem to be as bad or worse. I've seen about 3 sunny days since the cold ended in Feb.
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Yeah, the record ridge covering the West into Central states completely overpowered the pattern with warm and dry for much of the country. So we have moved past the usual old school La Niña correlations. This is now the age of the super 500 mb ridge that is going to cancel your winter in the locations where it gets stuck stuck in place. Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social Follow A remarkable 42% of the Contiguous U.S. had record Dec-Feb 500 mb heights. 10:41 PM · Mar 8, 2026
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Ski Resorts Close Early https://www.powder.com/news/lake-tahoe-resorts-close-heat-wave
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Not a typical La Niña snow distribution. You’d at least expect the NW and N Rockies to do very well and better in the upper Midwest. NNE still has a ways to go but they usually do very well also in a Nina.
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The lake effect zones usually do pretty well unless there is a strong El Niño.
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Depends....if this burgeoning +ENSO is as strong as some guidance implies, I think it will be plenty discernible, albeit perhaps with some residual cool ENSO residue.
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Yeah, it’s over.
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Nice. I still have a couple plowed dirty piles along my driveway, exciting stuff. A solid winter but Feb and March were disappointing here for snowfall after a nice December and January.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
33 degrees Wr risk Normal Pa weather looks like -
They got absolutely blasted and the official ob from 2 days ago had 51” on the ground. I believe it.
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By then we'll be seeding the atmosphere and folks will be bitching that it's become far too cold... You will NEVER win
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Certainly not dry IMBY. We had pretty much all of the snow melt before the rain, so you aren't going to see excess runoff. I was doing some yard cleanup yesterday afternoon and even the frost has gone very quickly. Those drought maps are as suspect as a BDL snow meaurement
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Models also showed a snowy and cold mid/ late Morch and that turned out terribly wrong
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, this torch is countrywide. You'll be hard press to find a place with a negative temperature departure this month. This month might set a record for the highest tempearture departure above average CONUS for any month. March 2012 had a cold patch in the Western states. -
Another cloudy day in store, sigh. At least it's supposed to warm up a bit.
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Sounds delish. Mr Map makes some fantastic scrapple egg and cheese bagel sandwiches
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Signs of Napril on the models. At least to start.
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Please let it be a warmup that we don’t have to “pay for” later…
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
