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Time for the TRUTH folks. The Blizzard of Jan 6, 7, 8 1996. I missed it. Why? I was in TX visiting mom. Why? I was going thru hell at KFC in Woodbridge Va at that time. That's the REAL reason I missed the Blizzard of 1996. Oh and when I finally got back - 20 inches on the ground - and I was living at 3557 Forestdale Ave in Dale City - in a 37 degree environment. This is all gonnabe on open messageboards and wiki's. I am writing about - and opening up to the entire online world - my entire life. My entire life, is an unrelieved example of a person who lived extremely eclectically and unusual as all hell. I'm very OLD now and declining rapidly and I just want everyone to know the truth. That is all. Carry on.

0Z Euro Op only shows a storm coming up the coast missing to the east during about same time periods - have to get within 5 - 7 days to begin to take any of these solutions seriously - although this far out would not want to be in the bullseye yet IMO

Snow showers at Mammoth right now https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Only a couple of inches, along with a refreshing overnight low of 7 degrees.

I agree on the first part, but none of the ensembles are going truly warm. If it changes, so be it.

Fixed

Euro not biting on the first potential.

0z Euro looks basically the same as 12z. Looks like there will be snow tomorrow for a few hours, then a lull, then it picks up again in the evening for a few hours. 2-4" for Denver metro south of 70 still appears on track.

Sometimes the OP will be the first to show an extreme/new solution, and a few days later the ensembles will trend toward it. We really need that -EPO ridge to hold strong and not start to phase out/weaken as we get closer.

Even I'm not worried about the operational Gfs at the end of its run as ensembles are not warm.

Long range is so warm on the GFS because of +NAO Just when we change the Pacific.. we've had, Sept-Dec, 4 straight months of <-0.65 monthly NAO so let's see if it does phase shift.

The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us or very close by.

The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us.

I’m no longer sticking with you.

Lets hit the 19th too. lala land. Hell Monday is lala land.

I hope this ain’t the promised land

I'll start off by saying I get it. This is the only place where 95% of the people share our snow-loving insanity, and the only people who understand the emotions behind it. The temptation is to voice every scream of the weenie soul. And venting sometimes is fine. BUT...I think the problem is how much you vent. It's one thing to be frustrated and stuff on here as we all get and we all vent sometimes...but it's when every post becomes that and every negative thought is voiced that it can be really difficult to read through. If the vent becomes a complain marathon, it's probably better to hold back some of it, imo You won't burst I promise, lol Personally I start to hold back if I feel myself kinda going off the path. There are other ways to handle snow frustrations than putting every last frustration on everybody else.

Stick with me. I’ll take you to the promised land

GEFS unconvincingly has a dartboard cluster of lows across the SE wrt the Jan 15 thing, fwiw. I suppose it's 'something'.

that's some Snyder-esque bullshit - not really surprised if that ends up being his rationale

I’m really hoping we get that hit in the next 8-10 days or I’m going to lose it reading all these posts.

What the hell is this?

Came home to a little pack anyways

Bolton Valley was reporting another 3-5” of snow in their morning report, and 10” in the last 48 hours, so I figured it was time to head back up to the hill to see how much progress there had been in the ski conditions. The first thing I noticed when I reached the Village was how incredibly warm temperatures in the mid to upper-20s F felt – it felt so warm that it seemed like the snow should be melting. I started off with a ski tour on the Wilderness Uphill Route to the Wilderness Summit. Being a Wednesday, they were running the Timberline Quad instead of the Wilderness Chair, and that meant skier traffic on Wilderness was quite low. Conditions have improved quite a bit since I was last out on the mountain six days ago. Low-angle terrain has seen a full resurfacing, so unless it had been recently groomed, you were not contacting any of the underlying hard surfaces. You could actually get bottomless skiing on any pitch of terrain if it hadn’t seen skier traffic, but that was quickly lost anywhere that had seen many skiers, so we’re not talking a limitless resurfacing of all terrain. The skiing was so good that I decided to stay around for some lift-served skiing as well. On my first ride up the Vista Quad Chair I rode with Will, another Bolton Valley regular. We wound up both skiing Cobrass, and after he told me about an adventure he’d had that brough him down the back side of the resort and required skinning back out, I showed him some of the terrain around Maria’s so that he had a good sense of how far you could go without ending up on the east side of the range. I continued on down to Timberline, since it was my first chance this season to get in some lift-served skiing there. Not everything on Timberline is open quite yet, but skier traffic has been much lower there and fresh snow abounds. The off piste terrain in the 1,500’ - 2,000’ elevation range needs just a bit of additional base to be ready for prime time, but from ~2,000’ and above there’s plenty of snow for off piste adventures. This most recent storm put down some fairly dense snow, and that played a big part in stepping up the conditions. My liquid analysis from the storm so far have indicated that the snow has come in right around 10% H2O. The off piste conditions are generally quite good, but there’s plenty of variability with respect to elevation, aspect, wind, and the predominant types of trees. Some areas are simply fantastic with mid-weight powder available, while others have a crust buried between layers of powder, and there’s some upside down snow spots. Wide skis are a good choice to smooth out some of those irregularities. There was definitely deeper powder with elevation, and here’s what I generally observed for powder depths out there today: 1,500’: 5-7” 2,000’: 5-7” 2,500’: 9-10” 3,000’: 12-24” There certainly wasn’t two feet of powder everywhere up around 3,000’ or so, but in place that had not been skied or scoured, a foot plus was the norm. I did find some areas with up to two feet of powder atop the old base however, so some spots have picked up quite a bit over the past week.

The thaw is now. It’s not a shut the blinds window. We got stuff a week away. This is the best time to post

If I need to vent about snow chances where else am I going to do it? On the redskins forum? Oh a music forum. If I can’t complain about the pattern here..why do we have a weather forum?