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But my gut says to go with hrrr over euro at this point? Id think it has a better grasp of temps within 24 hours of onset than the euro? .

He would lose his shit if it moved N a hair

NWS map going with warmer solution. If it doesn't bomb, it's 2" of slop for me.

Let’s kick this off right. Would be nice to get on the board early. Looking good for a solid little event tonight.

MU was discussing this over the weekend and it seemed like he favored your area or just NE of you. He didn't seem thrilled for anyone SE of I-81.

I'm going back to hauling water (a retirement opened up a day shift position) so I'd rather not win the low temp contest...lol

That’s gonna be real close for Ray because it might be a little warmer below 925.

The old saying of "you've got to smell the rain to get the best snow" may apply here. Whomever is close to the R/S line might be the ones to cash in, especially in the higher elevations.

A good 50 mile shift from 12z euro yesterday.

Euro at its height has the 925 0C line from about Ipswich to near Andover to probably nrn border of ORH and surrounding towns.

First light salt run, one small lot,.equipment works lol

Still has that other low.. I don't think it moved that much?

And the model showing the least snowfall is always correct. .

This month is turning into an unmitigated disaster. 48 hours ago we were looking at 3 threats lol

If I finagle the GFS amounts that it's tickling here, that'll be awesome. I'm not confident the qpf will merit that. It's tantalizingly close though. If the system can manage a little more latitude before shuffling east, all would be good.

Dr no

WWA hoisted for MBY

Yeah I think we’ve narrowed the goalposts down to just 25 miles or so but that still leaves a tough forecast because of how marginal the thermal profiles are across such a large area of more densely populated area. Metrowest down through Hartford region is gonna be a hard forecast.

Reminds me of Jan 2024 when we got two northern stream waves that trended south with the PV push and hit us with a pair of 2-4"/3-5" snowfalls a week apart. And that was during an el nino winter, ironically. This is likely the best case scenario in a NS-dominant regime as depicted above.

Brutal sensible weather performance here. I’m sure it nailed H5 over Madagascar though.

So are we at a consensus do you think with the 6z? The GFS shifting south some has a decent event here….and if the Euro has the same that adds some credence.

Been out of the office all week and I always lose track of days when I'm not there lol!

Lol. Hrrr and gfs come in with the good stuff and euro says “just kidding.” .

Of course, models will flip a 180 24 hrs. out lol!