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This wave won’t be coming off Africa til sometime this weekend.

So you think it won’t form

Too far south, and too much SAL.

Notice how he doesn’t post the AIF’s

Don't believe it's happened before at my station but August will wind up cooler mean temp than June.

That bulletin just gave me chills. So ominous.

I also have a feeling the trees are really going to start taking off with these cool nights. Its not at all uncommon to see some stressed color by now, but I've been noticing many trees starting to get some color the last few days.

If you read the article you deduce that it’s good to be queen.

Low of 59 at 6:22. High of 84 at 4:14pm.

I suspect we are likely done with any more 90 plus days this year. Over at the PHL Airport they saw an above average of 36 such days.....here in Chester County a bit different story. We don't have our usual NWS COOP hot spots (Phoenixville and Spring City) reporting yet but below are current available stations with their 90+ days so far this year vs. each station's average number of such days.

I suspect we are likely done with any more 90 plus days this year. Over at the PHL Airport they saw an above average of 36 such days.....here in Chester County a bit different story. We don't have our usual NWS COOP hot spots (Phoenixville and Spring City) reporting yet but below are current available stations with their 90+ days so far this year vs. each station's average number of such days.

Where did you see it? They're all around Worcester county now I guess.

This was all because I finally threw in the towel and reaped myself for the summer 2014 redux at the end of July. I’ll try pressing my luck and set up an auto-reap for this winter on November 1; that oughta lock us in an 09-10.

The 12Z GFS has this and makes it a H. The 12Z Euro has just a weak low. For the record: after 4 12Z JMA runs in a row with a TC from this, today’s 12Z JMA had no TC.

1st one I’ve ever seen locally.

Yeah I’m torn between viewing and trolling versus giving him the views and clicks. It’s a strange timeline that we live in.

High temperatures will top out mainly in the upper 70s and lows will fall to lower 60s in New York City through tomorrow. Outside the City, lows in the 50s will be widespread. During the weekend, lows could fall into the 50s even in New York City. Highs will generally reach the middle and upper 70s. Dry conditions will persist into next week. A system could bring at least some rain during or after the middle of next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was +24.64 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.969 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.6° (2.5° below normal). That would make August 2005 the coolest August since 2000. Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.6° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Capital Weather Gang declares summer is over. Premature? https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/08/28/dc-early-fall-summer-over/

Hi Lazza! Guess this means the wave off Africa probably might fizzle out and not develop no?

My (lazza) Euro Weeklies update Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo:1-7: 4.5 (0.3)8-14: 11.3 (0.7)15-21: 20.4 (1.3)22-28: 22.4 (1.6)Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024:1-7: 4.5 (0.3)8-14: 8 (0.5)15-21: 17 (1.1)22-28: 20 (1.4)

Lazza @GaWx from storm2k posted this, quite useful: LarryWx S2K Supporter Posts: 6504 Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm Location: GA Re: 2025 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16) #808 by LarryWx » Thu Aug 28, 2025 3:37 pm Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo: 1-7: 4.5 (0.3) 8-14: 11.3 (0.7) 15-21: 20.4 (1.3) 22-28: 22.4 (1.6) Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024: 1-7: 4.5 (0.3) 8-14: 8 (0.5) 15-21: 17 (1.1) 22-28: 20 (1.4)

voted btw

I had around 40? in the 2015 blizzard, which was drifted 8' against my front door of house. It was almost impossible to measure properly beyond the 30" range but L.E. was around 3.6" iirc