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Soaker on the euro, especially SNH.

With all of the talk about cold recently, I had to look up the average date of the last frost in PA. Here are the dates in regional generalities: Southern PA: South of Turnpike: April 21st and April 30th I76/South Central PA: May 1st to May 10th Ridge & Valley: May 11th to May 21st I80 up to Rt. 6: May 21st to May 31st North of Rt. 6: June 1st to June 10th https://www.plantmaps.com/en/us/lf/state/pennsylvania/average-last-frost-dates-map/ Based on that, and given the upcoming forecast, it appears that much of the northern half of PA will see their last cold mornings BEFORE the average date. Unless I'm missing something.

I can handle a solid rainy day, but multiple days of easterly fetches and drizzle makes me want to drive my truck off a bridge...

This has to be the most bipolar spring ever, in terms of temperature. I've never seen so many temperature swings in my lifetime. We've seen it go from 30s to 80s and back, 40s to 90s and back, etc. I don't mind temps in the 70s, 60s, or even 50s, as long as it's consistent. I just don't like the 40-50 degree swings we've been getting this year.

Meh... I know your joking with him but ...that mid 70s bias on spring warmth is coming from ( more likely ... ) media's fault. The problem with that is that even tho CC should be loud in the media, just not for the reasons they go about doing so: information for dollars. I mused years ago ... the moment in history humanity figured out how to turn TV channel changes, mouse clicks, and thumb swipes into pennies, we were doomed. They only saturate the J.Q. less informed, open to suggestion masses ( which let's face it... probably 90%+ of all brain boxes alive) whenever there is a record breaking this, that, and the other thing. Discussing how anything works? Isn't as profitable. So...J.Q. comes away white washed that everything's supposed to be hot. Sometimes... CC causes a cold winter, right? good luck with that - Seems like the government is attempting the same psy-op now with UAPs, though holy bejeezus why?! They're now releasing classified material related to plausible extraterrestrials. First of all zomb! But why now? If this has been going on since the 1940s... what's is it about 2020+ that requires all this hubbub. Well... I guess the way it's gone, there's been some "deep state" covering up reversed engineering of 'you know what'. There's purported now covert anti-gravity propulsion, along with other exotic techs. Like 0 point energy - basically tapping the 10 to 19th power eV background universal energy constant ... blah blah. If that came out and was made known/ubiquitous? Game over. No hierarchical "echelon" form of humanity social order. That includes power. That includes wealth. That includes being tethered to the societal toil chain as dollar valued slave labor. It would pretty much solve all energy needs, shorting demand down the individual level. Doesn't take a massive descriptive essay to see where that intuitively goes. For starters, the economic engine that keeps humanity on the same page, seizes like it ran out of oil and all at once stopped. No pun. That's just one facet. Wildly digressing here... but, if there's some how, some unlikely way even half a kernel's truth in all that, it's the greatest aspect in human history since "Groont" picked up a stick with one end on fire and saw a future. So how an why are these classified things being ordered released? Seems with so much at stake... so much absolute disruptive power, it's a major wtf moment in history. It already is even if all that shit isn't true, because the goddamn highest order of Government is exposing. whaaa Could be a diversion mm. Not a huge leap I guess with this cast of White House characters. Any way out of culpability in the Epstein files and a failing war, fluff UFOs (refashioned as UAPs). Maybe.

The 8 driest El Nino's with a RONI peak >+1.1 came out ... 2 El Nino - 3 Neutral - 3 La Nina the year after [27-28] ... the average RONI that next year is -0.15/yr.

I was just going to comment on this

Early in the week Mon-Tue then normal to below. Normal May weather what a novelty.

I think I’d rather pay the natty gas bill to take morning chill out over the electric bill when the AC cranks on those high dews, but considering it’s almost mid-May, it’s getting to be about that time….

Low of 35 for this morning. Agreed that this seasons last freeze is 4/21 and 24 for me but it isn't the coldest last freeze in my records. 2007 will still hold that record with a last freeze of 22 on 4/11.

Didn't make freezing this morning, 35.6 for the low, so I guess April 21st will hold as last freeze for the spring. I can't remember a year where 23 degrees was our last freeze and no freeze after that, pretty extreme.

As an online group, weather enthusiasts try to cauterize the shoulder seasons more and more each year. It’s either viewed under a lens where it’s supposed to be really nice and warm outside, or winter.

Ha. I’ll take the over. Is that supposed to be his thoughts on the polar jet? That looks like a January longwave pattern. lol Some moron on social media was trying to tell me March was cold in PA. The state was like +4 to +8. I swear people think every day is supposed to be 70s when winter is over. Ditty has everyone confused and installing in March.

Low of 40 here, shaping up to be a beautiful afternoon though. Already 64F. Enjoy the comfort this week and dust out the AC vents as it is looking like we go straight into summer next week.

There goes June.

I'm pretty sure that supercell is producing a waterspout that is sucking Great White Sharks out of the Gulf

Today is the pure definition of variably cloudy. It goes 7/8 BKN/OVC for 20-30 mins followed by 20-30 mins of like 2/8 FEW. Rinse and repeat.

Yeah should be good for awhile. Early June and late August can be sneaky but I think we're entering summer mode. You'll start to see dews increasing as well which will keep it warmer at night too.

Here’s the raw (rather than relative) anomaly for the daily OISST in Nino 1+2: ~+1.5C (relative is ~+1.0C)

There’s no guarantee that any of that stuff happens as modeled. I think it’s increasingly likely we are headed toward another -PDO type El Niño IMO.

Nice classic supercell just off the western Florida coast

37F low

Probably every summer in about 22 years ... Just another threshold moving on past ...

I wonder how rare Blowing Dust Advisories are in Illinois