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I get the Jack again!

Yes 2-4, 3-5 looking more likely. It will be nice to have some decent snow on the ground early this winter for a change, So sorry about your pup. It’s never easy losing them.

Slide that all north.

Is there any hope on the EC for mid-level enhancements in coastal Maine? Looks pretty ugly up there. *asking for a friend.

sleet in mclean

Switched over to sleet

Let's just ride a 6z horse right out of here call it a day.

It's probably the result of the split forcing in the Pacific. EPS/GEPS with the MJO 8 like pattern while GEFS loops around.

that's what she said.

6z Euro this morning came in colder for next Fridays storm. Something to watch

WTF are these?

It has been only to follow the eps.

GEFS still looks like trash LR

Sunday 7am flaky flurries Columbia 34°. Temp bottomed out at 32 Saturday evening.

I got a little sunburn on my face last Saturday!

Totally agree so so marginal here

The OKX AFD that day was written by a 5th grader

Yeah, I could see you thump at 33 or 34 but it’s so marginal. It’s aloft that I don’t like. 925 and just below.

Nice snow at the house to get us in the mood

Man its so so tight.

The southeastern edge of this wintry event should lie along the Interstate 95 corridor and include NYC-Philly-DC-Baltimore where a minor accumulation of sleet or snow occurs during the Tuesday morning rush hour. For these I95 urban centers, lets count on 0.1-1" of snow sleet at the start but probably not much of a problem due to anticipated melting on pavement. Still I'd leave a little earlier there and count on rain by 10AM. No change from me on the thread headline. That's my take at 7AM

One last weenie band rolling down to cap this event off

Any meteorologist saying that should get a mafia style slap across the face. That worked real well on 10/29/11.

Here where you can insert model bias in. GFS notorious for warming boundary layer too fast. Euro qpf outputs underestimated

BOX had that in their AFD yesterday. Apparently, the sun angle is only low enough for day time accumulation between December 18 and December 24th.