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Has anyone seen these before? They’re incredibly tiny orange big/insect…whatever. Sitting outside and feeling random spots of itchiness and I’ll see a super small orange looking thing and I’m guessing they bite or something because I’ll have a tiny red bite mark. No clue where they are coming from or what they are. They’re like those tiny red bugs that leave a blood dot but these are orange and even smaller.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Exactly. -
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Very feasible....I don't debate that. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think it would be warmer if El Niño DIDN'T take over entirely. Anyway, all I said was El Niño still has work to do....I never even implied that there is no chance that it will not take over the hemisphere entirely this fall. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Irrelevant then. Wrong forum anyway. -
The bay/river boundary pushing across ffx county is desperately trying to get a storm going up over Reston. Have watched it grow for the past 10 minutes.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It says hottest month "on record" - official NOAA/NCEI records date to 1895. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Except the United States just celebrated 250 years and your graph only goes back to 1900, soooo.... -
Why not both.gif
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.23 so far for today and .74 for the event here. Not as much as you guys, but still beneficial.
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I hit 100.9 at home at 2:24PM today and then 101.1 at 2:35PM, which are the hottest I’ve seen on my thermometer so far this summer! The good news though is that I’ve already heard thunder and prospects for a much cooler late afternoon than the prior 3 days are very high due to outflow boundaries from nearby thunderstorms at the least, and probably also actual rainfall. It has already dropped to back quite a bit with 96.9 as of 2:51PM due to increased clouds and popups nearby.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I made this nifty graph to track the ongoing push for what could become the hottest month on record for the contiguous United States. Through July 10, PRISM had the national temperature anomaly at roughly +2.12°F relative to 1991–2020. Based on observed temperatures and the current NBM forecast, my provisional estimate rises to around +2.60°F through July 21. Obviously, that figure remains subject to change as observations come in and forecasts evolve. The historical significance would be difficult to overstate. July 1936 still holds the national record at +2.38°F and represents the oldest surviving warm-month temperature record in U.S. weather history. July 2012 came extraordinarily close at +2.34°F, but fell just short. So this is not merely a run at another monthly record. It is a serious challenge to one of the most famous and durable benchmarks in the American climate record—one that has stood for 90 years. - Today
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We had a -PDO in the strong NINO of 57-58,we just had some good North Atlantic blocking,it was quite cold in the TnValley,maybe Global warming is a player now which seems possible,but that was quite unusual when you see waterways in Mid Tn freeze up in J/F,it that happens agin who knows -
Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Kind of rainy, cool, very humid day here at TRI. We used to get these a lot. Nice to see them every once in a while. Heavy rains have fallen in the foothills near Greeneville as others have noted.- 350 replies
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Per NOAA in DJF (my def. of neutral PNA is between -0.25 and +0.25) 1. 2024-5 was, indeed, very +PNA with a whopping 72 of 90 days being +PNA vs 18 neutral PNA and zero -PNA! That’s amazing for La Niña! Going back to 1949-50, the only other DJF without a single -PNA day was 2002-3! 2. 2025-6 was actually a more typical La Niña with more -PNA than +PNA: 49 -PNA, 14 neutral PNA, and 27 +PNA. https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.pna.index.b500101.current.ascii -
Day 4 NSSL machine learning likes a day 4 threat and days 9, 10 and 11 as an active period. https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2076303103263932677 The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight a potential northwest flow setup for a handful of days across the eastern U.S. The risk of some strong to severe storms appears evident at times.
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Max heat begins to move West later this week.
