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Yeah my storm is going to make a lot more people happy.

Weenie run. Especially for you guys to the east. Which seems to be the norm lately.

We have had a few below zero mornings here, one was -13 but so far so good. I think that was the second winter for them

The GFS taken verbatim is snow on snow.

Wham bam thank you ma’am.

I think it actually does on occasion sniff out the threat first. It'll get everything else wrong of course and flip flop all over the place

Still better, energy at 500 more south

Have we saw similiar setups like that before? I’m running through notes and can’t find what I’m looking for .

I’m a romantic, but not liking that heart-shaped snow hole over my area. Again.

Ok, let’s not get to over dramatic. We don’t have to worry about any sun angle BS for quite some time. Which has nothing to do with whether this upcoming system sucks or not.

Actually, the Cabin got a 2 night booking Friday afternoon and added an additional night yesterday morning for MLK weekend! Fingers crossed the Guest Suite will book this week!

But holy moly does that turn into a big blizzard along the EC, and that looks a bit more plausible given the spacing. Now, if we can get rid of the Pacific tropical feature, we could manage to get an inland runner???

Misses to the NE as the low gets stronger, but we still get 2-4"

I was/am hoping it can morph into something more conventional. Big boom/bust with this depending on exact location.

Yes its a miller b with high bust potential. Best we can expect is 3-5” for many on the forum, 1-3” for others

Cape storm still just misses with the good stuff

@168 hmm

This would’ve been a real test

It’s so similar to last winter with the fast flow but colder than normal pattern. Early on you knew coastals would be next to impossible. I’ll be fine with a couple inches to make it wintry again.

System after system where the energy really comes together just east of us. If it won’t snow here, at least it snows somewhere. .

Let’s be for real and realize that dc won’t be a jack and this won’t play out like this. We need a nice evenly distributed storm. None of this shit excites me because it’s screwy and unlikely to happen. Just give me a nice evenly spread 4-6 storm and I’ll start vesting. For now, the takeaway we all should have is….we in the game!

Healthy looking second system on the GFS, BUT.....it is fooling around w/ that tropical PAC storm-ish feed again, and I think that is likely wrong. It allowed the back of the trough to hang back, and it catches that erroneous(?) feature again. I strongly encourage more support from other modeling before buying that scenario. I hope it scores the coup, but that just doesn't look like reliable synoptics or climatology. I would willing to buy that setup if someone could simply make a case for that being the Pineapple Express(aka atmospheric river hookup).

GFS looks pretty damn good for the CAPE storm

Only model that looks like that

For sure! We didn't buy our current home until September '17, so no planting started until spring 2018