All Activity

Are ratios really going to be that great? I haven't looked at soundings it seems like Kuchera is just cold surface temp = high ratios which we all know doesn't always work out.

57 degrees...nice day

That says it was updated about 6 am so that's likely not the final#s

Here come the advisories. Looks like Up to one inch snow/sleet, and 0.1" zr.

Should be good for 5" there I would think. Depending which side of Bristol you're on since the cutoff may setup nearby or perhaps not with a couple more tics NE.

.30" liquid drought begets drought

at times like this, i stop and think what the actual working pros think, even steve d....they all seem to think there will be some significant snow, albeit not the storm of the century. if these folks thought this was low confidence, they would say so.

I only ever saw forecast with highs 30-35 for Tuesday/Wednesday. Where forecast highs lower than that before? One of the reasons I found Friday storm intriguing was NWS having cut there forecast high Friday by 25 or so degrees. A forecast high that did have basically full model support for days before having the rug pulled out and one they were parroting a bit on social media the end of last week and last weekend. I saw some models lower for this upcoming Tuesday, I don't think it was full consus. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Lol that's how they cover themselves

The problem is the no precipitation

That model appears to be on an island right now in regards to that idea. But what is good to see is that there isn’t much of a warmup after Christmas aside from Monday-Tuesday. Miraculous how warm CONUS has been but we evaded most of it. Looks like the cold reloads after the new year. Models backed off on that a bit idea but I think it’s just noise for now

so in other words, a run of the mill event of the kind that used to be quite normal around here....3-5 and more to the north. i have come to miss them, myself. i'd take one of these every week or two.

Mt. Holly bullish still

I'll extend the offer to LGA and JFK as well. Regarding the north trend, it does seem to have leveled off for now so let's see where we go from here.

The same advisory for Jim Thorpe and the Pocono's ouch

They’re still barely usable. Besides, 15z per my understanding uses 12z initialization.

But for real tho, stop yall. It’s Christmas. Go chill with your family and come back tomm. Merry Christmas to you all.

New Haven county went straight to warning too....

That's looks so differentfrom there winter weather page.

Hell with the way they are measuring, they will end up with only 4 to 5. NWS is quite bullish with this I must say. At least the Northward trend appears to have stopped for now

Dude we drunk on eggnog and French 75s. Ain’t nobody thinking about this place today. And I’m miserable. I’m in FL and it’s 78 degrees right now. Leave me alone.

Sunny and warm on Christmas. 55°.

It is close in though

SREFs…for when desperate times call for desperate measures.