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Good contrast setting up between the SW, US and Alaska this Winter. A little more than typical index-based correlations. I wonder if such a thing will flux the PNA in future years.

Gotta be a top 3 or 4 worst March Warm when we wanted it cold. Cold when we wanted it warm. And mostly snowless

This record cold March at Fairbanks is even more amazing when you consider how much above normal it was in the Arctic (80+N) in March: You can see evidence of this stark contrast of cold anomalies to the warm anomalies to the north in the Arctic as well as to the south in the lower 48 on this for March 1-17:

I’m planting peppers and tomatoes outside today

Meh, we still will ebb and flow between kinda nice and kinda shitty for a time.

I'm curious to see if the N. Pacific PNA pattern corresponds with this April Kelvin wave. Research I have done in the pasts says there is some time-0 correlation.

May, but yeah we can sometimes hit those super dry heat max temps before vegetation is really out.

“Epic reversal of winds in the equatorial Pacific immediately east of the 180° line. This condition, which would extend until completing the second half of April, is and will continue producing a massive warm Kelvin Wave that will arrive at the South American coastal edge toward the end of autumn. It's the stuff of legends. It could compromise the winter season on the Peruvian coast. By warming it. #ElNINO”

22 here

Did someone forget to turn off the GFS 10-day snow machine? I bottomed out at 28 this morning (good radiational cooling although I have flowering things budded up) and 30 yesterday morning. They keep threatening about "the heat dome" coming this way but that forecast seems to be jumbled at our latitude. Anyway... currently 46 with 27 dp.

25 was my low.

500mb ridge maxed out >5970dm. Combination of that and lack of snowcover in the southern Rockies made a seemingly very anomalous situation more possible. Not saying it wasn't a big pattern break though.

23 here. My tulips are toast. Too many frosty mornings since they first popped out of the ground.

Asspril followed by Mehy

Get out the patio furniture

Swampass season incoming?

Mid week, with big Canadian surface high but it’s locked up north thanks to the mid level jet. Winds aren’t out of the north so should sell the severe cold anoms and just plan for low 40’s…

Asspril?

I’m seeing the leaf buds on pretty much all species of trees around downtown here so looks like commitment is in for the early leaf out.

Low of 41. Seven degrees higher than forecasted.

25 here this morning

Using a chart inspired by Jeff Berardelli's return-time charts, here's how Fairbanks would look for March 2026: And December-March (cases prior to 1911-12 were excluded due to the number of missing days during the 1905-06 through 1910-11 period):

Banking on some crap weather but also that the near freezing temps are bogus. expecting upper 30’s to low 40’s. I’m good as long as then greening up of the landscape can proceed.

Break out the banana hammocks.