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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Have you seen the latest GFS model with a gulf track bombed out -
2025 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to Maggie Valley Steve's topic in Southeastern States
Only 60 degrees at 1pm on August 4th... Again like a broken record simply amazing. -
Stay on the radical left hand side and the hell out of our way Chumpy
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https://faroutmagazine.co.uk/deep-purple-smoke-on-the-water-story-behind-the-song/
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Moron on the computer constantly
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Tan your pale boomer body while your grandkids suffer from your disregard for climate change. You and Tolland should get married
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Smoke on the water . Fire in the sky
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Solar and mini-splits will be the best investment we've made. I'm about to go up 3 MWh on Production vs. Consumption, will probably hit 4 before we start heating season- no way I ever run a deficit. Never paying an electric or fuel bill again. Or installing.
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Since 1970, (at least through 2010), Philadelphia's heat island has been fairly stable. Here's a paper: https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/pubs/jrnl/2023/nrs_2023_locke_001.pdf Most of Philadelphia's warming has been due to climate change. Philadelphia has warmed about 0.8° per decade vs. 0.6° per decade for all of Pennsylvania since 1970.
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Where did you find data about things like a day-by-day count of days by MJO phase?
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The BC forest fire situation has been relatively dormant all summer and these fires on Vancouver Island are relatively small and should be easier to fight than the massive blazes in remote areas of northern SK. Fire fighting in near-population parts of Canada is conducted in the same way as in the western U.S. and with the same success rates. There is no political foundation for any strategy of ending the forest fire risk by levelling our forests, in particular the progressives who control politics in Canada would go ballistic if anyone seriously suggested this. We've had bad forest fire seasons in the past too, this is not some new phenomenon. A large portion of northern Ontario was burned out in the summer of 1916. I can recall bad forest fire seasons in 1977 and 1980 in central Canada. Back in the day a thick forest fire haze was quite normal in the west, in an era before fire suppression began, and that is as recently as the 1920s and early 1930s. People only started to organize fire suppression in recent decades.
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Low Pressure Lunacy started following SE Area of Interest--0% two day, 30% five day odds
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I think the count this morning was like 507 out of control fires and they are attacking (one way or another) 208 of them. The rest I'm not sure there is any way to reach them without a skimmer.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No doubt the global temperature is rising exponentially, but I don't think a +0.4F change (after some Strong El Nino) creates all these bubbles of like +6-8f differences. That has a lot to do with the pattern. I don't think the 15-16 and 23-24 El Nino's were turning points that we are never coming back from, meaning like an amplified SE ridge in permanence or something. PDO and NAO decadal is, per statistics, 5x more likely to be cyclical rather than "random", given the 150 years of data that we have. -
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yeah I read of that correlation during the spring 2024 when the plumes came south. just sayn'
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The official AQI numbers seem too low. Very heavy smoke down in Northampton and the network of home monitors is in the red.
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Watched an excellent story on woodland fires and prescribed burning. Now that adults are running things,we will see a massive effort to clear dead wood and burning.
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Pic? Can you smell it? Just hazy beautiful day here.
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Yeah. They’re trying to fight them too. I say let them go and burn hot like they naturally would. Finish off all of that dry, dead wood and stop the smoldering.