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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
0.03” of rain so far. Drizzle ongoing. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WmsptWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's Rhule's job to lose: 1) State College native 2) Penn State player/alum, last remaining branch of the Joe Paterno coaching tree 3) Was with Patrick Kraft at Temple Rhule is a bad hire. You can say what you want about Waco, Texas and Lincoln, Nebraska, but his record against ranked teams is piss poor. He's basically hwite Franklin. Somebody bring me Jon Gruden. -
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Taken at 10 PM. Seaside Park. There’s no beach left. Still 2.5 hours to go before the lower of the two upcoming high tides.
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this is a nice little storm would've been a nice snowstorm if this happened in January!
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Talking about the flooding not wind lol
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Winds haven’t even gusted to 40 at the local airports…fire island will be fine
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anotherman started following Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
anotherman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Who are you thinking for his replacement? Rhule? Joe Brady? Cignetti? -
3k without power now on long Island and tides are now rising. Fire island go bye bye i bet
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Ya, just responding to the guy who said they didn’t update the AFD…so who knows.
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Dude! Where's my car?
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Giggidy.
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When looking at the hours, the winds are in fact increasing from south west to north east it would seem
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To date, among the emerging cases that could provide insight into Winter 2025-2026 temperatures is 2021 (ENSO, RONI, QBO, IOD, and PDO). Consistent with the lack of statistical relationship between ACE and winter temperatures/snowfall, ACE isn't considered. Solar flux is also a mismatch (suggesting perhaps a milder version of 2021-2022), but for now this is an emerging case. The evolution of the North Pacific SSTAs and continuing evolution of ENSO will be important factors. Here's the fall 2025 outlook using 2021: Fall 2025 (through October 10): Winter 2025-2026 using 2021-2022: ECMWF DJF Forecast: -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No rain to speak of here. 56f humidity 95% dewpoint 55f Wind NE gusting to near 40 mph. -
Really nasty out there now. 0.92 and winds roaring
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Who knows how his station is mounted.
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724 p.m. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
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Yep. I've been telling folks here how behind we are getting on the first frost.
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Yeah sad to see the changes. Descriptive and knowledgeable AFDs are the best part of the NWS (or were).
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Back in your hood:
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What? They issue AFDs like 4 times a day or used to? You hear from the NWS when it’s partly cloudy or when it’s a big deal. That is/was the value of it. I read the man updates almost daily and I bet many on here do too.