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  2. Some models quickly recover the PV.
  3. The real cold on Thanksgiving will be closer to Siberia. You have to give those people credit for surviving in such a cold environment. Luckily, their energy bills to heat their units are relatively low compared to what we would be paying if it ever got that cold here.
  4. Today
  5. I think so. We don’t have gutters in our area either. They’d just be clogged 50% of the year.
  6. There have been winters that provided remarkable snow and ice events. Long duration cold, MECS, etc. nothing weird about that.
  7. End of the 0z EPS is showing a +2std +NAO All the roll forward stuff this year was predicting it for the Winter at about a +0.2-0.3 correlation: - 7 straight +NAO months Feb to August - 8 straight +AO months March to October - Lag from Solar Max 0z EPS mean 360hr:
  8. End of the 0z EPS is not looking good lol
  9. The favorable H5 look for December has slowly degraded on models over the last few weeks. -early Nov models had a persistent -NAO through Dec.. that's really changed to positive around the end of Nov/early Dec -A few days ago there was a strong +PNA on models. That has about disspeared -The -EPO was looking like it would be a strong pattern a week ago. It's still going to happen, but now as strong and persistent as before. By the 2nd week of December it's probably gone The best thing going for us is the Stratosphere warming, which usually "downwells" in +30 days at this time of year... puts a possible -NAO pattern for the 2nd half of December.
  10. This guy hasn't been playing with a full deck since day one.. ignore and move on
  11. There have been some really good seasons and storms down there relative to Mid-Atlantic climo. My first season down there was 2013-14, which is my favorite season. Wall to wall winter in DC from January 1-late March. Much like us, the last decade has been rough. We really need to see the return of good coastals. I know Ray hates them, but Miller A’s can be solid from DC to Portland if you do it right. Hopefully everyone can cash in this winter.
  12. Can I ask a dumb question? I’ve noticed that gutters aren’t really a thing in my area, is that because of ice dams?
  13. You’re in Delaware. Enough said. Sure, a 2010 comes along every 75-100 years or so…but it’s never really been anything remarkable there…ever. So the fact that you say “winters are not great anymore in my hood”, is just weird?
  14. Look, I KNOW I'm a damn broken record about this, but Mammoth's OPEN! You GOTTA see this! All the best snow in the whole world is waiting for you at Mammoth! It's only 3-4 hours away by plane! This is one of the BEST-EVER montages of all the FUN you WILL experience at Mammoth Ski Resort! https://www.mammothmountain.com/ Oh, and Palisades Tahoe is opening in only 4 days!!!
  15. it has been a long while since we've had a regional war-type season, that'd be fun
  16. meh RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 0433 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ATLANTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 79 DEGREES WAS SET AT ATLANTA TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 77 DEGREES SET IN 2011.
  17. Gfs fantasy sleet storm dec 4-5
  18. If you ask me this pattern we are fixing to get looks more severe in early Dec,You got heights rising before t-giving into the Sea of Okhotsk,with a trough in East Asia and rising heights into Mongolia
  19. That's pretty impressive. I live in a twin and I'm exposed to the West/Northwest, so get blasted by the cold winds. Small house so doesn't take long to hear up. Normally nerd humidifier on in Jan and Feb.
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