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Nam looks like it’s about to be a disaster for all. Luckly it’s the Nam

Morning fellow weenies! 24/23 with flurries. Had a fresh coating overnight. Heading to the tire shop to get my snow tires put on for the season.

Agree with LWX and wouldn’t make any big changes based on HRRR, it is very jumpy outside of 12-15 hours. I think Baltimore to NE Maryland to S Jersey for this one to jackpot is more likely than northern tier.

Yeah that's kind of what I was thinking with my comments above about the broad "bowl" type look. I would think that at least keeps a fair bit of cold air on this side of the hemisphere, which keeps a solid amount of cold air ever lurking in Canada. If we don't have some jacked up ridge form that floods all the cold air out, we can perhaps score what you're mentioning...a CAD overrunning event, and even if it flips to rain, there is still cold air nearby that can come right back in behind the system. At least that's the hope!

Looks like DTs brother

Enjoy the snow tomorrow

Your not hugging Timmy?

It's the trend. It's a little warmer at the start, then it only snows for a few hours, albeit heavy. My guess would be 1-2" DC to Baltimore

Lol I saw that too. Went from brown to blood

Hahaha First of all...LOVE this poster--hadn't seen this one before (only thing I'd fo is make it a little brighter) Second of all: YES...we have PLENTY of symphony for you all

Me and the HRRR .

He even shaved the mole right off. Ruthless.

was just going to post as well. Thats the model to hug right now.

At least a step in the right direction but the KU track still remains elusive.

It’s an IMBY sport, but do think people should always try and caveat their statements about who it’s a best run for, lol. Really like the LWX map. Probably wouldn’t change a thing. It’s about time NE MD got pummeled. Feeling like 1.5” or so is the bar for DC. Wouldn’t want to be any more west or south of that.

This is a great write up by Tomer Burg on what the HRRR may be sniffing out

Takeaway is that tellies and models are showing see saw ride through years end. I think as long as we avoid a torch, we'll ride it out.

Paging Beethoven (and @stormtracker, @Maestrobjwa...fellow classical music afficionados!)...

Lmao

Dad was in the Navy so I can't be with you on this one brother , that said hoping for a good game

Dude. What. The. Eff.

Shows 2-3” there. I wouldn’t say that sucks. And seeing how you guys already scored snow us catching up is fair lol.

Im not a huge fan of wxbell numerical index plots. Im not sure what algorithm they use but it's usually overstated to reality. Good trend though! Ensembles have struggled with quick shifts of the AO/NAO in both directions since early Nov. Part of me didn't want to believe the shift strongly positive but I finally caved to the idea after 5+ days of guidance showing it. Of course as soon as I caved things started uncaving haha. Wx is a cruel hobby but never boring. If blocking does in fact reset back to favorable, we're right back in the game even with the Pac being a bit hostile. I like CAD overrunners. They may get messy but they are rarely dry. Fingers crossed

if you are honestly going to put much stock in a forecast thats over 10 days out... I'm glad you dont handle my 401k. We all see the back n forth that the ops are showing thru and beyond Christmas, and your here long enough to know better....so try to be better. Thanks in advance.