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Didn't know this... https://www.facebook.com/groups/1324788797564648/permalink/25571392229144300/?rdid=Cz3Qx05L6GdPevEm#

The GFS is going to cause flooding here Saturday. It's significantly heavier with the precip than the other globals and has SE TN and N. GA in the 4-7" range.

Still shows snow NC with the L going out to sea.

No I said 56 inches between next week and April 1 for me. Hopefully you get 100

I think most airports are going the way of that. DTW has had paid snow observers for like 15+ years. A lot of other places do too (paid observers, volunteer, etc). I think the goal is to find a good/feasible spot to measure away from the airfield (harder to measure, plus faa dont want it anyway). As long as its within a 5 mile radius or less of the airport, its good.

I was being facetious, but you did mention you could see a stretch like that like a couple of days ago.

It’s amazing to understand the incredible amount of variables that go into temperatures over time. There are many variables!!! Thanks for taking the time to compile the data this is close enough to me to just add a degree of two in my location.

meant in reference to forecast models not sensible weather haha

Gotta get that done too. Still too much snow though.

I was kind of hoping we could have gotten a solid 2-3 year stretch of ENSO neutral conditions but this developing La Nina and now signals for an emerging EL Nino are going to run that. But this constant seesaw of ENSO with multiple strong EL Nino events over the last decade is really causing some major atmospheric chaos

Yeah looks like a great weekend....

If it torches like 72-73 or 97-98 trust me you won't like that, lol

All the major models have the storm on the 15-16th plus a follow up storm on the 18-19th. Plenty of time to dial them in and get to fantasy land later on. Point is we have something to track!

It will start this season, the second half, and go wild to close out the decade.

Yes sir. I worked as an intern with the RI state climatologist and was really educated on RI climate. Another reason you see some bigger totals in SE Mass during dying clippers is often OES follows in EMA

As much as I am a believer in CC and its influences on weather and while there may be some influences, I agree that CC is not the ultimate driver behind our crummy luck. Eventually we will get into periods (and a several year stretch) where things work out and we get slammed. This will happen sooner versus later.

Who is seeing Jan 11 but single digits Jan 8th? Meh

Standard response after the last 3 years can't blame you. Next time I read its because of CC I am going to puke.

Tried to tell him this earlier... he was acting like it was 3/8.

I think I need a time out for a few days.

Euro is trolling hard with the southern sliders and lobes of energy diving south that you can see the sparks getting close to the fuel down south. Timing issues a plenty, but something to watch.

This week? Yea its thaw week ya know the one we have just about every year in Jan. Cheer up your time is coming. Patience grasshoppers is so apropos this year. Its only week 2 of 12 week season

I got the 27z gfs loading up right now. It’s going to be a banger!

Some folks had asked me to perform an analysis of both the Winter and Summer Average Temperature by Complete Decades for just here in Chester County from the 1900's thru the 2010's. You will see the very cyclical nature of our warming and cooling patterns. Overall, we have seen some slight warming of winters and conversely some cooling of our summers across Chester County PA. The warmest decade for both summers and winters was way back in the 1930's. Of note so far here in the partial decade of the 2020's we are so far running as the warmest winter decade since the 1930's!! However, last winter was the coldest winter in 10 years and we are off to a colder than normal start to this winter so we will wait and see if this is the start of the next cooling trend across the County. These are also updated on the http://www.chescowx.com website. Let me know if you have any questions.

I can’t handle another one. Make it stop!