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I agree with them that recent winters have been mostly underwhelming, but disagree with the downplaying of last winter. Climate change is real, it’s happening, and I tend to align with the people who are arguing that it’s playing a significant role in the past decade being mostly underwhelming. That being said, I was very happy with last winter. I’m also very skeptical of the idea that last winter was supposed to be historic like 95-96 or 14-15 or 10-11 and CC robbed us. The reason last winter was not quite as good as those winters is it was too dry for record breaking snows, I’d be more inclined to blame CC if it was too warm with multiple benchmark storms being say 35-36 and rain. The long term trend with CC is warm and wet, and last winter was drier than average. I do think there were several winters this past decade where I suspect CC boned my area some, but do not think last winter is a good example of that. If anything, a redux of last winter in say the 1970s climate may have been worse because it may have just been colder and drier rather than snowier. The longwave pattern simply was less favorable than those record breaking winters for east coast cyclogenesis. I’m just glad things came together well enough to give me the best winter since 14-15 in my area.

for this forum: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/14-centralwestern-states/

Maybe a little action coming up....

This is almost exclusively DXR South and west . May even miss CT entirely

I'd say they've been here 3 years. It's not quite as bad this year as the first real year but I don't bother killing them anymore. The bats eat them which is maybe why the #'s seem a bit less this year.

Highs will again reach the upper 70s and lower 80s tomorrow. It could turn somewhat warmer on Tuesday with the temperature topping out in the middle 80s. Showers and thundershowers are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.87°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.43°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -1.94 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.501 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 92% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I don’t know, I think Tuesday and then Thursday could produce in some areas. Thursday may be best chance further east? But good trajectory especially on NAM. Good 850 theta e advection in Nam.

This one has legs

Why?

That spring and summer climate is generally brutal . Ocean temps prohibit swimming and now it’s a huge drought area

They must have just crossed over the Quinnipiac River/New Haven. Only saw them out your way in Milford, Orange, West Haven prior to seeing them here this summer.

I don't go out of my way to kill them but I just probably mowed over dozens of them cutting the grass. I have battled many invasive insects but the shear number of these fuckers is astounding. I have also been reading they are drastically changing the taste of the local honey.

Yup wrong

Low of 54F. Back broken!

Now we are like “it got into the 40s for 7 hours!”

Sorghum is supposed to be drought- and heat-tolerant, the fact that it’s down 24% this year in France is alarming. Hopefully there are more heat-tolerant strains available that they haven’t tried there yet.

They are everywhere here and have been for a couple of years now.

CON’s earliest freeze on record was 32° at midnight. It fell to 29° by morning for their all-time August record. 7+ hours at or below freezing in August…brutal.

Pit2 is about 33 miles NE from PWM and 15 miles up the Kennebec estuary, which is mostly fresh water that far up - only when all the rivers feeding Merrymeeting Bay are very low does muc salt gets there. PWM is 2 miles from Casco Bay, and its 1991-2020 norm is 69". 2001-30 so far is 65", both close to ORH. Pit2 probably gets 5-10" more than the Jetport, though I'm not sure it beats ORH for retention.

Cant trust long or even mid term heck even short term models given their failure the last 6 weeks

We need a nice rex block

With no weather ever happening , facing a snowless winter, I need something to damage something

It SEEMS (and I hope) that starting Friday we enter a nice late summer pattern featuring upper 70's and low 80's with fair weather.