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Yup. On the other hand, GFS was completely schooled by Euro. It was the last, or close to it, to come on board to the actual solution.

Maybe I'm wrong - we could end with the wettest month since 1892 here. The land has already rapidly greened up from all the rain. Very pretty. I have mosquito bites all over my back just above my butt from walking, as well as on my arms. Not great. Conceptually, the winter now has the following setup: Very hot Jun-July (poor for snow), hot for Aug (neutral), wet (good for snow), El Nino (good for snow), duration (>3 yrs since last big season), El Nino + good monsoon (good for snow). September will finish near average for highs with all the rain induced cold days. Polo is supposed to die right over El Paso, which is amazing spot for a low for most of New Mexico.

Ha terrible. Gauges around MBY say only 0.25”ish which seems low…

50 knots showing up at 925

Why don't you ever post actual readings from your weather station??

After the surface low stalling it is finally moving to the NNE the last couple of frames on the satellite.

I was just thinking the same thing. National weather service also did a nice job. Still need to pick up four or five more inches of rain but it looks very doable at this point.

Wind definitely picking up slowly but steadly, gusting in the 40-45 mph range if i had to guess, but becoming more and more frequent

Wind has definitely picked up the last half hour or so in Jersey City

The meat of the event for us prob won’t be till after 12a. Hopefully O&R is on their game. Central Hudson is always a hot mess tho

I don't want to jinx us by talking about OC, a lot of Ulster came back online already.

Damn good forecast by the Euro AI 6 days out

Yeah, I didn’t think we were supposed to get anything this far West. Had some pretty decent rain on the way back Thru VA and WVA. .

4500k in Orange are out.

Did they get most of the show in? Me and the youngest saw some of the aerobatics as we were heading down to Dulles for some spotting. Didn’t know they had an airshow in Leesburg. Rain seemed to hold off till about 3:30. .

Heard my first low roar just now in Bay Shore. Highest gust so far. .

Definitely starting now . Big rips

I'm in City Island in the Bronx a stones throw from Westchester County and I'm seeing the first rains of the day right now

We do what we can

It got a lot closer than I thought. Looks like it will landfall just north of Atlantic city.

After a breeze driven drizzlefest for much of the day, getting some decent showers moving through the last hour or so. Still not much wind. 0.33" so far

West End of Long Beach by the bay was also flooded so far. Not sure how anyone can say we're dodging any bullet. I'd say it's a worst case scenario but it could be Irene-like by the end.

I dunno, I'm 1/3 mile N of the county line and it hasn't stopped raining for more than a few minutes all day. .8 so far. Steady wind, not as strong as expected but it brought down plenty of branches. More than nothing for sure.

Lindenhurst low tide & jones beach

Went down to Ocean City for the now-cancelled Oceans Calling festival. We decided to stay and enjoy the weekend. Been a fun one to watch along the coast