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Up in Torrington, definitely. With temps locked below freezing the whole duration and snow, sleet, freezing rain i'd expect secondary roads to be messy that are untreated. It's not going to be the worst storm in the world but definitely a problem for the AM commute well inland in Litchfield Co. I'd probably expect some delays. But you know the deal, treated main roads and highways will be mostly fine. Snow/Sleet/Ice should be over by the AM commute and anything that falls as a mix will have changed back over to light snow/flurries by then. The bulk of it should be over after midnight.

Remember when it showed 15”? Another clunker model

My oldish bones said the same thing the last 2 days. They prefer 20 crisp n clear vs 35-37 damp dreary. guess i do still like the cold more than I thought.

In case it wasn’t posted, here’s the SV 6Z AI-Weathernext ens: averaging 3” for this area based on 10:1

Evelyn Wood taught me well

Garbage Forecast System

That thing is always in a world of its own like the rufus.

I know that I should be grateful that we at least had a big one on January 25th but after many dud winters it honestly doesn't feel like that was enough. This hobby has very little reward sometimes.

GFS meso is colder and south HRWFV3

Would be nice.

Related to what's called geophagia, the eating of earth, usually clays. Some think that this phenomenon is due to a deep instinct to consume minerals and to adsorb toxins in the gut. I recall that it's most common with women.

I’m a Gal of Fame Weenie…… Yes…… But Holy Crap Dude .

I expect the radar to be crap tomorrow. The dynamics aren't particularly great there is a quite a bit of dry air aloft (outside of a rather narrow axis of moist air lifting southeast to northeast). It will be the Adirondacks, Greens, and probably Berks that get any accumulating snow. Elsewhere its just going to be a combination of rain showers, freezing drizzle, and some sleet pellets. Probably some wet snowflakes for the hills.

Sorry about not posting lately. Got into a bad ski accident on Friday. Snowboarder hit me from behind Fractured my Humerus... I guess no shovel duty for me.

Creeping back GFS weighted im sure Day 4-5

Marginally better than yesterday SOP. Barely.

TWC just had a great set of visuals/animation for both the GFS and Euro runs and also demonstrating what's "steering" all of this, i.e., the big upper level low/trough moving south from Alaska towards off of Seattle, which drives the upper level ridge in the Rockies which drives the upper level trough in the eastern US which our eventual surface low rides along, showing how if the trough is too "flat" the storm heads way SE of the benchmark and we get a whiff or not much (Euro), while if the trough is sharper/deeper it drives that surface low NE-ward towards the benchmark and we get a bomb (GFS). As one might expect, without enough data (and conflicting data) on all of these features (especially that Gulf of Alaska low), the TWC is predicting a bit of a blend of the GFS/Euro, leaning more towards the Euro, but still giving some heavy snow for the coast and less inland, somewhat like the Euro-AIFS, with maybe 3-5" for 95/NW and 5-8" SE of 95 to the coast. Will try to post the video, but for now, here's the pic of their thoughts for the storm: it's not a formal forecast, but their purple is usually 5-8" and dark blue is usually 3-5". It's not a bad "forecast" IMO.

Didn’t take long to dig out this morning

I do suspect the so called atmospheric memory of this winter will be how this ends up. Close but just a little outside! That said the IVT plus a graze could result in measurable snow for many on this forum.

Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff

NAMs slicing and dicing.

39 / 26 as the much prolonged snow pack continues to shrink with melting now accelerated. Tomorrow's rains may due much of the s/c nj and NE places in. Not much sun the next 4-5 days and the snowpack can be replaced quickly Sun pm and into and through Monday with the storm. 2/23 - beyond looks to ride near / below normal and remain wetter.

Time to refresh with a foot

I think I’m done with winter if this doesn’t pan out. It’s like breaking up with two women in the same month. Onto 50’s and drizzle if that happens