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  2. that's all that matters euro ai came out way west is what missed
  3. Not caught up in the thread but wow 18z Euro has a shift west + a healthier northwestern precip shield. I had just told my wife to write this thing off, not about to believe the GFS on an island again. Positive development if this repeats next run. Euro has been locked in on nothing.
  4. My definition of a trend is 3 or more consecutive runs showing similar outcomes across guidance.
  5. Apparently there is a PARA cmc however do not know where to find it. They posted in the NY forum a few times in the past.
  6. Never seen such a big shift in EPS this close in: 12Z for 12Z Monday 18Z for 12Z Monday
  7. Another day, another below 40 reading.... if this keeps up i don't think I'll be hitting 40 till March!
  8. euro ai snows from around 1pm sunday until 7pm monday!
  9. I'm not so thrilled about this one. I'm expecting mostly freezing rain, with all the good snow well to my north. My guess is 1-2" of slop then some zr. Hope I'm wrong.
  10. Another beautiful winter day east of New England.
  11. OK what did i miss? Just got back from a house fire on shelter Island.
  12. I don’t wanna rain on anyone’s parade. And I’m hoping that this thing keeps trending west, but remember two weeks ago we were hoping for a blizzard and the only place who made out was Montauk. We had some hits on the models only to have the rug pulled out from us later in the evening. .
  13. I will be staying up until 5 with my newborn.
  14. The capital of PSUsiana might not be Norluns, but that’s where most of the fun happens.
  15. For what its worth he was going off the 12z runs rather then the 18z runs.
  16. Yea but I mean… didnt the euro just take big steps towards the GFS?
  17. Here is their base snowfall map btw Any met want to weigh in on what the hell is going on with the Shenandoah's? I know that their elevation and upslope will help them but is this just the NWS graphic overdoing it or human made?
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