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Yes snow on Saturday is more likely at this point than Sunday or Monday.

Nam and icon have snows icon more aggressive

No improvements for Sunday on the ICON that I could tell

A shift towards the Euro? Not in the slightest. 12z NAM was worse than 18z NAM.

He used orioles offer to get Red Sox to match

Watch this little wave also

Long range

You are wishcasting. The 18z is unmistakably a shift towards the ECMWF. But the differences are relatively minor and there's still time to improve this.

84 was really cold; i remember the ice sheets on the banks of the raritan river after a thaw; huge slabs the size of a bus.....85 did have some cold days even a little snow iirc.

Any chance we can put any weekend discussion in that thread?

Third the of weather club: toss the 84 hour NAM in the garbage and wait for the RGEM to run

Valdez is the better option IMO. Hope Elias gets it done.. or trade for Peralta, and then extend him

ICON improvement for Saturday snows for some folks

Disagree. More ridging out west on Nam and piece of energy not as far SE in Canada.

12z RGEM was also def a bit warm…looked a bit over cooked.

Am I missing something? My post above was referring to the 12k nam, but the 3k nam also has some snow late Friday into Saturday.

Haha very true! Was just looking to see how the energy angled coming down. I know its gonna change.

Unfortunately I agree, pretty damn close honestly. Not close to the GFS.

The first rule of weather club: do not dissect hour 84 NAM. The second rule of weather club: do not dissect hour 84 NAM

there isn't a single eps member that has a gfs track

48F for the high at home, clouds.

It's the model that is supposed to eventually replace the HRRR and NAM.

20z kickoff Sunday.

Got a low parked over the Great Lakes…tearing up thermals. Bet this is still a pretty cold system. Might need that coastal.

Anyone actually believing the outlier op GFS is just asking for extreme disappointment. Its own ensemble (GEFS) says it’s off its rocker. The EURO op, EURO AI and EPS look absolutely nothing at all like it for Sat-Sun