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Nice analysis. Zeke Hausfather had a blog recently on how the 1930s warmth gets overestimated. Here's one of his plots. US stations were concentrated in the Great Plains in the 1930s, exactly where the warmth of the 1930s was focused. That is why it is important to grid the data as you did. https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/raw-data-wrong-answers

@CoastalWx : "What?, I HAZ snowed in August???!!!"

This. Next winter might actually be a 0" for one of the nyc weather stations.

While the major 100° heat has been mostly focused in late June and July in recent years, September and October have been warming at a faster rate than the summer. NY Coastal Climate Division 1981-2025 Jun….+0.4 per decade Jul….+0.8 per decade Aug…+0.6 per decade Sep….+1.0 per decade Oct…..+1.0 per decade

Posted on FB by someone on Sebago Lake

Not all CT …….soaked River west

Was planning on hanging around Joshua Tree National Park a couple hours after sunset a couple nights ago, but had to get to Vegas by midnight to return the rental car. Did see the sunset from Keys View overlooking the Coachella Valley which was cool. Then stopped on the side of the road in the middle of the Mohave Desert so my son could pee. Stars were amazing and did see a bright meteor in those couple minutes.

Or not

2026 - the year CT gets soaked and focused HVN-Hamden SVR! "Why can't that ever happen around Weymouth!?"

You think ORH has a sub 10" seasonal total in the next 20 years?

Nice supercell over Cape Cod Bay

WDI hasn't worked for awhile, man...used to be 3-4 years for a foot, 6-7 years for 2 feet...this is the longest stretch without a SECS in my brief lifetime. But not getting any out of two niños (23-24 & the upcoming one) would be an unusual level of futility, though. Let's hope this one delivers.

Hmm…down to 60% odds

95/74 is not our climo on August 13th Would’ve been a good chase trip but the logistics are a mess and I’m thinking the center passes south of the big island as a strong TS, not hurricane. I try to stay away from Island Roulette.

Meteorological summer is June, July and August while the hottest part of summer average wise is approximately June 10th to September 10th

we got hail

Here we go again with the model wars. The 12z GFS has the 9 day here at 100ºF, while both the Euro and CMC have us at 72ºF. Both the Euro and CMC have deep troughs over the east at 500 mb, while the GFS has nothing.

Same for Detroit. 3rd coldest for that period, behind those same 2 years. Thats also the coldest time of the year on record climatologically, so extra impressive. 8.7F – 1895 10.1F – 1936 12.3F – 2026 12.6F – 1899 12.9F – 1918

Looks like my work cube over by riverside golf course is inline. Will find out soon. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

I dont think it was overhyped AT ALL. In fact, everytime someone on here spoke about the abnormal cold they were inundated with how warm it was out west. There was some very impressive cold stretches. It was the 3rd coldest Jan 15-Feb 9 on record at Detroit. The first half of December was 5th coldest on record. In the end, the average winter temperature was solidly below avg based on any 30-year normal or the entire climate POR. It was the coldest since 2014-15. In a winter that was expected by many to be mild, it was solidly colder than avg in the Lakes/East. No one said it was record cold, but its also a copout to use a phrase like "its winter its supposed to be cold". Thats why averages exist. For Detroit, it was 44th coldest of 153. For Erie, PA it was 35th coldest of 153. At NYC it was 43rd coldest of 158.

Great write up by Ryan https://ryanhanrahan.substack.com/p/incredible-103-mph-wind-gust

One massive MEH for sure.

Now that the ponds and reservoirs are the lowest they've been all summer, they bring it only to abnormally dry. Meanwhile it was severe drought when everything was full. Shoot those products to the sun.