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I monitor my dad's solar array and this is exactly the case.
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Solar power was about 70-75% of what it would have been without smoke
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Yep. My yard is as bad as yours since the beginning of March. I pay no attention to the predictions of an inch or more from NWS/WPC a couple days out, because it is not going to verify. At some point the Nino coupling to the atmosphere will take over and this awful dry pattern will shift- but not likely for another month or so.
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IAD did get it's first 80F low yesterday - did LWX make a note about that? It's pretty insane. Yes the area has become more urbanized, but still.
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Yeah there was that, but also some drier air moving from NE to SW. That dry line triggered the training storms over Jersey. The cell that developed and moved southeastward over your area could have been related to that, but weaker and on a a smaller scale.
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Now...imagine if it were a large forest of cannabis plants that was burning, how would we all feel?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@Gawx -
Good point. Yes, it does matter to an extent. But each site is different. The below sounds pedantic and getting into the weeds, but I have found an appreciation of the details working w/ numbers, calcuations, and statistics, their rules, and how it applies to the sciences. We know the history of BOS wx measuring issues -- temp, precip, and snowfall. So this is not an isolated or new issue. And then you have the base issue of ASOS temp considered ok as long as it is within +- 2 F. The point is marginal of error or uncertainty in measurement is rarely given in the mainstream. Output/results are often treated as absolute fact. This is not a good scientific practice. For example, If a number is known to be accurate to the ones place (whole number), expressing it with a decimal (like a tenth) introduces false precision. This implies you know the value more precisely than you actually do. So since ASOS is only reliable within +-2 F, see the problem here? And then you have individual site calibration issues at times independent of the sensor base accuracy. These wx sensors in the field are not high quality super precise like sensors used in a lab. And a larger issue not directly related to precision/accuracy, artificial heat sources are becoming more of an issue w/ time, both on a local and large scale where many of these climate locations are, so biased warm is not an unreasonable assumption a lot the time. Yes I know this complicates things, but if you are going to say that an avg temp over a long period of time is exceeded a previous record by tenths of a degree when you have issues like the above, we can't just ignore the limits of measurements and rules of what is precise/accurate. It gets worse when you see temps calculated out to the hundredths of a degree (global avg temp, as one example) That is two orders of magnitude above conventional sensor precision!
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A bit like Andy Dufresne (in "Shawshank Redemption"...one of my favorite films!) crawling through 500 yards of sh*t-smelling foulness I can't possibly imagine!!
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We couldn't even manage one day with decent dewpoints. IAD up to 70 already. Sheesh.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Agree. Things change, and improved knowledge (and medical understanding/advances) can help save lives and/or keep you from getting sick or adversely affected. I've never been a fan of the "we never whined about such-and-such and came out OK, now everyone's a wimp!" attitude (when in fact many people did NOT come out so OK). Yeah, some complaints about "how difficult it is" that I hear on minor or more trivial issues makes me roll my eyes, but in general, I totally get it. As for the conditions today, it's totally ugly out there. You can literally smell the smoke and feel it in your eyes and sinuses. Remarkable how the visibility is notably lowered too. Thank goodness I didn't have to be out for any length of time in this. I'm not sure how this compares to a couple of years back when we had a similar event with wildfire smoke that got into this area. Regardless, it's pretty bad.
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Forecast of storms / rain tomorrow already cut down to 60% from 80% this morning. Another dud incoming.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Another Aleutian ridge! Since the El Nino began, N. Pacific ridge vs troughs lasting 5 days more more: 6-0. July will likely be the 6th consecutive month of -PNA -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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We got a letter to stop watering immediately. Then they reversed the decision and said that was only for the Hamptons. Now for us it’s odd/even day stuff.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I've always wanted to do that. In Mt. Shasta, CA the mountain clears completely in the Summer, then in September/October huge amounts of snow start piling up on the top. How cool would it be to camp on top of that mountain when the first 4-8' falls? It's easy to climb to. -
recent days have demonstrated how smoke vs clean air can lower ground-level air temperatures
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Jebman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Man I wish they had a live webcam - They make Mammoth Ski Resort look like the DMV in a La Nada winter. I am SOOOOOOOO damn Jealous of all their snow. I'd love to kick back on a Texas lawn chair on their ski parking lot and watch that snow pile up all around me lol. -
The smell of the gas in Taco Bell’s bathroom is worse than this. Man up.
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July 2026 General Discussion
SchaumburgStormer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
2 miles due east of me at the dirt track got down poured on to the point they had to cancel races for tonight -
I find the argument “I lived through worse AQI and we still had events” so weird. Back then, we didn’t how bad it was for you and it was normalized so of course you held events in air which damaged your lungs, you didn’t know better! Now we do, so correspondingly we cancel. It’s like complaining that people wash their hands because we learned germ theory!
