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Advisories back to ORH now. Still not far enough west and they’ll react during the event as usual

flash drought

st Pete beach > any trash beach chicago has to offer.

I have lost a lot of faith in the veracity of the U.S. Drought Monitor. When it updated Thursday morning at 8:30, it kept Augusta County in Extreme Drought. No way! 3 - 5 inches of rain in 8 days. 4.88" at my gauge. Water table rising and only a few ft. below normal. It would be a miscommunication to even say that we are abnormally dry at this time. Maybe in a few weeks if no more rain, but not now.

pretty meh overall... if it wasn't for that 5 day period we would be well below

KORE is below normal for May..

Models had 20z ish there.

Well, the summer could lean above average, I don’t think it will be “hot”

More like hello brightness my best friend.

Developing strong Ninos are never hot summers.

Its like a broken record. All the warmth was in the west this past winter. It did spread east in March. I dont know how anyone can say that the winter in the east wasn't cold.

Average winter in the east ? Maybe in the south but not the northeast. I had my coldest and snowiest winter here in NYC in a decade. Close to 50 inches of snow with a long lasting snowpack and cold temps.

Love when the long range weather defies the predictions.

https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/doc/genots/2026/05/25/NOCN03_CWAO_251940___18749 NEW VERSION OF THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (GDPS) OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF CANADA (MSC) ON TUESDAY, MAY 26, 2026, STARTING WITH THE 12 UTC RUN, THE CANADIAN METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE'S GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (GDPS) WILL BE UPDATED TO VERSION 10.0.0, SPECTRALLY NUDGED BY THE GEML (GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL EMULATOR) ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-BASED MODEL. SOME OF THE KEY ENHANCEMENTS TO THE GDPS IN VERSION 10.0.0 ARE: - SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN FORECAST ACCURACY OF GDPS 10.0.0 COMPARED TO THE OPERATIONAL GDPS 9.1.0 - IMPROVEMENTS ACHIEVED THROUGH LARGE-SCALE SPECTRAL NUDGING TOWARD AI-BASED GEML FORECASTS - ROBUST AND STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT GAINS IN THE FREE ATMOSPHERE, PARTICULARLY IN THE MID- AND UPPER TROPOSPHERE - SIGNIFICANT GAINS BETWEEN DAYS 3 AND 10: MORE MODEST IMPROVEMENTS DURING THE FIRST 2-3 FORECAST - IMPROVED PREDICTED TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON THE INNOVATIONS AND PERFORMANCE THAT ARE ACHIEVED THROUGH THIS IMPLEMENTATION, PLEASE CONSULT THE SECTION ENTITLED: DATA AND PRODUCTS OF THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC PREDICTION SYSTEM, WITHIN THE MSC OPEN DATA PAGE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK (IN LOWER CASE): HTTPS://ECCC-MSC.GITHUB.IO/OPEN-DATA/MSC-DATA/NWP_GDPS/ README_GDPS_EN/ PLEASE ADDRESS ANY QUESTIONS CONCERNING THIS IMPLEMENTATION TO (IN LOWER CASE): F.PRODUCTION-INFO.F(AT)EC.GC.CA SIEWE ADM-MSC / SMA-SMC OTTAWA

My son in law just took a job as co owner and executive chef at the Mountain Inn Killington Distillery on the Killington access road .Skied Saturday

Guidance way off on the timing of this. Much faster than progged. Gonna be raining here by 20z tonight and out by 10z tomorrow.

Gene’s gonna pull 3-6” . And I don’t mean Simmons tongue

Damn the warministas called for HHH May through September back in early spring. Great luck with that

Good! They can get a better snowfall measurement! Maybe snow will not be so wet here. Those are cold temps. Well, GFS now has 850 temps as low as -5 C across NNE so there you go! W/ such cold temps at 6000 ft, you have to think that down to 2000 ft in NNE could do very well w/ super wet glop.

Yeah I could see 40-45 from 495 through Tolland.

Lmao. Once again. Over their heads. No one argued that the -2.6° in chicago in Jan 2025 was record cold. It was brought up because maxim said it would be a WARM month days before the months began. Jan 2026 had impressive cold. It was -5.2° at Detroit and both December and January were solidly colder than avg for even the coldest 30 year normals in the period of record. Jan was -4.4 compared to the entire POR and Dec -2.1 to the entire POR. But thats "seasonal" and "normal". It was such a cold winter in the east that the trolls either disappeared or completely fixated on the west. Thats when you know it WAS cold. Jan 15-Feb 9 was 3rd coldest on record for Detroit (I usually dont post intra month data sets like that but hey, they do all the time when it's warm!). And thats already the coldest time of the year. The warmth of march/April was discussed but apparently not enough for the liking of some which is what started a tantrum because its not discussed enough.

Those winds on the Rockpile seem very meh

I posted a few days ago elsewhere that I thought the window would open around mid-June. We certainly do see models rushing the favorable window sometimes, especially early in the season. Hard to believe we’re almost near the official start of the season.

Mt Washington