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I got almost as much rain from a system models were giving me ZERO precip as I did a few days ago when they were showing 1 to 2 inches. 0.13 last night compared to 0.19 a few days ago.

0.01”

Hmm, weird...my Americanwx does not appear to be updating? This is the only post I see since sometime Friday. I am on a new device, and reloaded. The only post is Snowedin's post about, I assume, phantom rain. Anybody? Thanks!

This was the point that I made back in late August. Anytime we have had a cooldown like in August from June and July, the rebound warmer from the cooldown is of a greater magnitude than the cooldown was. Several areas had top 10 warmth from June into July. But the August average temperatures did reach top 10 coolest. Now much of the area will finish September in the top 10 or top 20 warmest. The long range models underestimated this warm up. But understanding this temperature pattern over the last decade can see where the model bias lies and forecast accordingly. The warm spots reached 90° earlier in the month and several stations had record highs and low maxes over the last 10 days.

Mid 60's leaving my house but it felt like a brick wall i was walking through with the humidity. Disgusting out and sun isn't even up yet.

Germany is one of the few high population and heavy industry nations that has reached 50-60% wind and solar usage on the planet. So the challenges they have faced getting closer to 100% are informative for the rest of the world that wants to go this route. They are 25 years into their energy transition.

I don’t think we’re going to see anywhere near the amount of poleward ridging that we did last winter

Trump's speech showed how unprepared the US is becoming for the future. https://electrotechrevolution.substack.com/p/rewiring-the-energy-debate?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web

Thursday would have been much better than this nonstorm tonight. While in theory rain sounded like a good idea tonight, in reality when you get light rain like this at night it really sucks. It just makes the air more uncomfortable and much more humid and I've been up all night with a stuffy nose and sneezing. I'm about to turn on my air conditioning. A dry cool night with temperatures in the 50s is FAR superior to this. I hope the next time it rains it's when we get a noreaster. Either that or a strong frontal passage with cool dry weather behind it. Not this nonsense of a nonstorm. This is nothing but a godawful humidity pump.

This is probably why I'm so uncomfortable tonight, this socalled storm is nothing more than a humidity pump that triggered my allergies.

I thought we weren't going to use 1891 because of its very limited dataset? The limited data at EWR in 1891 makes September look erroneously warm and makes October look erroneously cool lol.

Let me know how your extended summer beach trip is..

I don't think it's going to be that extreme. Temperatures in the 70s are fine. There is no hot air around to make it that hot.

While in theory rain sounded like a good idea, in reality when you get light rain like this at night it really sucks. It just makes the air more uncomfortable and much more humid and I've been up all night with a stuffy nose and sneezing. I'm about to turn on my air conditioning. A dry cool night with temperatures in the 50s is FAR superior to this. I hope the next time it rains it's when we get a noreaster. Either that or a strong frontal passage with cool dry weather behind it. Not this nonsense of a nonstorm. This is nothing but a godawful humidity pump.

What a blowtorch. We cool off maybe 1-2 days next week and then 80s well into October. Probably another top 3-5 warmest month likely

And the rain begins again..

Feel VERY confident this has trended to just a rip current/beach erosion threat. Bermuda still needs to watch

So you're saying there's a chance?

The Euro is just another model. Nowhere near its glory of a decade ago lol. With a well defined center now and slower motion, along with a weaker SE cutoff and stronger Humberto, it’s harder to see that escape route being closed.

What is a Chlorine Oxide Radical?

She's just trying to fit in with the crowd.

81. .03

Unlike prior two runs, the 0Z Euro stays away from US. Also, unlike some hurricane model runs yesterday that curved back into SC/GA, the 0Z runs all stayed offshore that area.

I never go against the Euro.

Finished up with 1.02... By far the biggest event since back in July... Solid past 2 weeks down here...