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This is why letting it rip is not a prudent strategy but probably won’t have a say in it as CC exposes more fuels. There just won’t be the resources to combat them. Almost there now IMO.

Yeah. A seabreeze these days is 78-80 degree humid air coming off the sound...

Summer ain't over yet!

How many NS?

seems like 78-80 is more the norm these days

Today's thread:

Looks like my high today was 61 with a current temp back to 59 and drizzle.

In the last 8 hours, the GFS has given us Hurricane Hugo wrecking South Carolina, Andrew bulldozing South Florida, and now it’s serving up Katrina like it’s a greatest hits album from Mother Nature’s rage collection

Looks like your paradise there Mr.Simp

The Boreal forest, in both east and west hemispheres, have usually been created and regenerated by fire since the glaciers retreated.

Yeah, we used to do many boat trips across the back bays in Nassau. It’s a whole new world to explore out on the water. The bay houses are fun to see in person rather than at a distance from the shore.

2019 all over again 2014 all over again

The Dec/Jan cold snap set an interesting record at Detroit for cold longevity. Dec 26, 2017 thru Jan 6, 2018 was the longest stretch on record (12 days) where Detroit did not exceed 19F.

We are about to embark on a historic deep deep summer run for a long time. Cane included . Buckle up folks

What a summer for Long Island sound water temperatures...

Fantasy time ... but how about the cat 5 in the lower Bahamas at the end of that.

It seems like I've read a few papers related to climate change enhancing the northern latitude forest growth around the hemisphere. Entering a CC-related dry bias extending several seasons ... --> wild fire frequency increases. Whom and/or what is lighting the proverbial match? If those are relatively constant while fuels increase... more fires. Climate change effects interior continental geography, differently, in time. For example, increased wet/growing seasons initially causing surplus carbon stows above land. Then, as climate changes furthers along creating extremes of drying vs wetting that can extend longer than single seasons and boom. Not very difficult to see where that's going... Suspiciously, this seems 'probably' to be a situation where the fuels were improving over time, while the triggers remain relatively constant. Pure speculation, but given to the known CC relationship with creating extended periods of unusual mid continental drying, there's some intuitive basis to the idea of 'creating firestorm' proneness.

Days and days. What a summer...

lfg!

Boy that is a summer run on the euro.

It's 89 degrees here but because the dewpoint is in the 50s it feels perfectly fine outside.

hmm i just think maybe it is something interesting to think about but what if we incorporate ai and machine learning with strictly in regards to sst and climate change itself not trying to say that we should replace everything with it but just have it as one of our tools in our arsenal

WB 12Z EPS for late in the weekend, wetter than 0Z. Note: great write up in the tropical thread on this by 007.

The magnitude of the heat and drought in Canada is much more extensive this time around as the climate continues to warm. Those past events you referenced were normal occurrences back in the colder and more stable climate of the past. What has been occurring in Canada since 2023 is a whole new ballgame. First, we had the historic 500mb ridge over Canada in May 2023 leading to the historic wildfire outbreak and record smoke pollution in places like NYC. This standing wave which drove the drought and fires was related to record warming in parts of the Pacific which helped to lock in the record heat and 500mb ridging in Canada from 2023 to the present. Second, the current global political system is not capable of dealing with all the cascading effects of this rapid warming. So the response will have to be more driven by informed individuals that can make their own personal decisions on how to respond to this new climate.

90 with a dewpoint of 56 here. 90 feels pretty good with the low humidity.