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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That may very well happen, but I would think that is what guidance would be showing at this point, regardless.....first of all, those runs default towards ENSO in the longer term, and are usually adjust to stratospheric phenomena had a pretty lethargic pace. This is why I spend 3-4 months telling people that big +TNH pattern was going to develop late last January, despite guidance looking to protract that mid month mild period at times.....slow to adjust to the reflection event that I knew was coming in July. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
45+ days for November. -
I'm not sure why I'm watching this game. The eagles look like a jv squad
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, it was tougher sledding down there, no pun intended....but we saw well over a foot just prior to xmas up here. I agree with most of what you say, but I just think there will be a bit more of a window this season than you do. We are probably pretty close on mean temp departure for the season, though. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The SH breaking down you probably should expect a big ridge into Mongolia tho it seems to be just brief,still tho it shouldnt be that warm as being portrayed as some people are thinking into Nov -
New month, continue drought. Been 15 days since last rainfall. Beautiful fall days continue though. High 72, low 51
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End of month stats: Highest temp - 93 Lowest temp - 41 Highest dew point - 78 Lowest Dew point - 41 Rainfall - 3.29"
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Oops. Yea I did but might as well be snl. There so bad it's comical
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I’ve said it before but it’s far easier to drop below freezing here in Mayorch than Octorcher . Both are uncommon , but one is still more likely than the other
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You know your climate, plus above normal heights… the mixed layer stays mild for a long time in this regime.
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Damn, ha. Those mins are hilarious.
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Well apparently my Davis is broken and has issues and it’s been below freezing here .. so I’m told by a few posters
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So far this is an embarrassing game for SNF.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks and, indeed, that’s what we all are still talking about. I understand why you say it isn’t good for most, but is there a chance this would give Cape Cod a nice snowstorm? -
It was 24° this morning so no.
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I'm not saying I don't enjoy the different perspectives that you show us...but the Luzerne County Weather Authority? Really? My question from a few days ago still stands...how many weather blogs do you follow?
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I'm assuming you meant SNF but I mean... lol
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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To all the Ravens fans. If you want to feel better about your team, tune in to the Commanders on SNL
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Say what you want about this guy, but hard to argue. This team is not easily fixable. https://www.si.com/nfl/ravens/onsi/major-lamar-jackson-injury-update-and-4-key-takeaways-from-ravens-third-straight-defeat-01m6ce2hvqpw
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I think I started posting about a no frost/ freeze thru Tgiving here back in early September
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We don't "luck" into any snowstorm let alone the #1 snowstorm for BWI. It was a strong Niño. 82/83 would have been BN too, but for the Megalopolis storm. Nobody knows for certain what's going to happen, including the eternally depressed CC crew in the Enso thread. But you're in a decent spot in Reisterstown being both inland and with a decent elevation. You should be at least moderately pumped, but patient because odds favor the second half of the winter. But we could still sneak one in ala 12/12/83 despite being +3.4 that month.
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absolutely wild for November
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Are your hydrangeas looking similar to that ? Fresh, flowering , ready
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
