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I’m with you North Hills.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
No doubt it's radiational cooling when I am lower than you lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Central/west Denver and from south of there did OK. I probably mustered together 2", most of that coming last night.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I would bet anyone, any amount of money the monkey is long gone by February 1. -
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I was a bit surprised it got down to 19.8....figured there would have been a higher launching pad. I'm sure it's mostly fake born of radiational cooling and will be wiped out shortly, but still- -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Exactly. Just frustrating and I paid my dues. Especially frustrating when the cape had 6+ I think at least 2 times since. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah, Low was 13.8°F this morning, Its a bit slick out there. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Combination of cold and low solar irradiance has really maximized snow cover. -
I agree with you and the lo g range looks like warm weather at least here near Dover Delaware. Of course things can change. Beyond the 16th the weather remains in the 30s during the day and upper 20s at night through 21st and start to climb into the 40s 23rd with slight chance of snow showers those days. That's to far into the future and will change. I'm heading to the farm below eagles Mere PA next week for the last weekend of bow hunting. The weather there is even nice with temps day upper 20s and lows middle to upper teens.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Shit snow totals but I’m on like day 33 of snow cover, lol. I don’t think I’ve had more than 4” OTG at any time either. Normally 33 days at this point would mean a great start to the winter with likely multiple warning events, but not this year. As much as I hate brown frozen ground, if we are going to get a decent storm next Friday, then I wouldn’t mind starting clean. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I think spiking the MJO amplitude in phase 7 later this month would further bolster confidence in this outcome, but my confidence is already pretty high. -
The shrinking Northern Hemisphere cold pool is leading to these Arctic outbreaks covering a smaller geographic region than they used to.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Man, no wonder you've both been so cranky...4 years... -
At 7 am it was 43.5/39.3 after hitting 37.6 around 2 am. Amazing the number of times that has happened since Christmas.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely....many on social media, including DT, are always inclined to rush the demise of ENSO. It's tiresome. I do expect the PNA to be the primary catalyst for some significant snowfall here in short order, as I do not expect NE coastal snowfall to remain this paltry. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I just want this 6” monkey thing off my back. Since Feb 2022. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Tenor of the season! -
Now the Final Jeopardy question. Will The GFS OP still show this snowstorm in NYC Metro during the 12Z GFS Model run ? At least it is now under 1 week away.........
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yep thats another one that i always think of, too low again CT/MA and really low for NH/VT Theres definitely some missing ones on that list, theres no way Feb 5th, 2001 or Mar 4-6, 2001 isnt a Cat 1 or 2. I get the formula but there is far lesser events that still scraped the big cities like new york that made that list. This ones gotta be the worst. NYC got zero snow from this. As well as most of CT and all of MA outside the berkshires. So this one is super overdone for tri-state/sne
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I don't mean "deathblow" to winter...as in winter over; quite the opposite. It's just getting started, as frustrating as it's been. -
Tough to call it full coverage this morning but it's close. Still over 80% cover but it's pretty thin. This dense freezing fog kinda sux
