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oui oui baguette

Are you leaning for or against TC genesis?

THIS WAVE HASN'T SPLASHED DOWN YET BUT DESERVES ITS OWN THREAD ANYWAY POST MODEL RUNS HERE

Cuba looks like a crooked nose in between two crazy eyes. Too bad it couldn't be some dumb twin names like Hurricane Bert and Ernie.

Yeah, but I’m not necessarily tracking for US impacts anymore—more for how TC genesis occurs or not in this case.

lmao you beat me to it! I was about to post this hahah. Day After Tomorrow Vibes!

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Ehh even if that develops it will just ease off to the east and east northeast once it gets to the latitude of say Cape Fear NC.

Few drops here. Looks like a dry stretch coming up before the next heat wave which will help it get hotter.

I had my 20th storm of 2025 this aft but it sort of went to my east, just got sprinkles and long, soft rolling thunder for 30 mins. 140 strikes. It was the very rare due south dir cells. Crickets started yesterday. Mostly cloudy today and with all the smoke its becoming less sunny now, oof!! That 10 day last week showing mostly sunny for the next period here really busted not just for smoke blot but typical cloudiness.

You know what? It’s 2025. Let’s do this. Let’s push FEMA and the NWS to their breaking points and see how that goes.

Unfortunately they usually they cut the bone and leave the fat. Nothing fun about seeing 'ol Bill, the 30 year DBA being escorted from the building laptop in hand. The one guy who could still read machine code!

Or there is Skynet, which absolutely wrecks Cuban agriculture across the entire island.

Highs: ISP: 81 EWR: 80 JFK: 80 ACY: 80 TEB: 79 PHL: 79 NYC: 79 LGA: 78 New Brnswck: 76 BLM: 75 TTN: 75

So probably we could get a TD but no TS?

You guys are such goobers First of all if that set up that way to the west system would curve down into Mexico and the east system a curve out to sea. So yeah, hopefully the media made a big deal out of a double hit and then that happens

Welcomed surprise, moderate rain in brightwaters

The last time I saw this....James's novel....

Here's the Winter US Temp map Believe it or not, 5/6 of those +analogs were below average snow here.

China has lots of other issues, so even if it widens its lead on energy, those other issues could still adversely affect China. Authoritarian approaches tend to be rigid and rigidity ultimately undermines innovation. It also has an aging population, which will constrain its labor market growth.

Looks like the models have the bigger heat a hair inland as I see lots of southerly winds next week. It's also not that hot, some days are not hot at all. Good news for big heat haters.

light rain here once again .01. 68.6 degrees

We’ll see… The AO is going negative over the next week.

They look like one nice set of perky man boobies waiting to strike!

The convection was much more limited earlier and also disorganized. I would’ve kept at 40%, but there’s a ribbon of higher shear to the north too that could disrupt things.