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the old 7-10 split here-NAM seems to have been right with a screw zone in b/w the stuff to the north and south

MOCO county fire department don't drive through flooded roads!

Stay on the edge, streets have nice size rivers of runoff going down them. I'm sure the usual poor drainage areas are flooded.

it's the average over the entire planet, so taking that into account, people have the choice not to smoke (and very few do anymore) while people don't really have a choice when it comes to air pollution-- it affects minority communities even more because thats where the polluting factories and diesel trucks usually are. I saw an estimate for Oakland that stated that air pollution has shortened life expectancy there by 8 years, 2.5 years was the planetary average-- so it's much worse in some communities than it is in others.

Can the immediate South shore LI possibly get screwed over again? NS is cranking right now

Here comes our nrn NJ flood

I'm glad that cell in Queens/Nassau is literally a few blocks to my east and it just barely pulled away from me. I'm still on the edge and I am getting random little bursts but a mile east of me is catastrophic.

About damn time: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service New York NY 227 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025 The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Bronx County in southeastern New York... Northwestern Nassau County in southeastern New York... New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York... Queens County in southeastern New York... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 227 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

this sounds like 1976-77 lol

Flood advisory issued so far. See how long they wait to pull the trigger on issuing a flood warning.

and this is why we are seeing the spraying of so many pesticides

Getting raked

Wait, I thought you just said you got a half inch?? That's nothing to sneeze at. I know you're being facetious (maybe? haha), but we actually don't know how any of it will play out. Wasn't the best action always supposed to favor southeastern areas today? C'mon, head up Voyager!

The main issue for those areas in NJ with the steadily warming minimums has been insect damage. https://www.njweather.org/content/seasonal-trends-extreme-minimum-temperatures-six-new-jersey-locations

The question is, do we actually want that kind of climate? I would say no, because it would be horrible for the growing season. The ideal climate is a nice compact winter with lots of snow in January and February, around 3 to 5 feet of snow and then a nice dry hot summer with 30 90 degree days 10 95 degree days and 3 100 degree days. I know I'm being very specific .... because my favorite season was the period from 2009-10 to 2010-11 for both winter and summer.

this is our best summer since 2010-2011 the ones after 2013 were all mediocre

HRRR continues to show the extremely heavy rain amounts staying a little southwest of this area. We'll see.

This is probably a good thing for the growing season to be longer? I remember August 1986 that was my first Perseid meteor shower and it was a crystal clear sky with no haze temperatures near 50, felt like early fall. That first time had the best viewing conditions of any time I've seen it since (outside of the times I've seen them in the Poconos away from light pollution.)

The solution is to just have a yard made of weeds like me: only 3.30" MTD and still looking good!

My PWS is seeing rates over 4 inches per hour on the north shore. Ground is hard and bone dry so I wonder how that’ll go. I’m near ISP right now where it’s dry but looks 8 PM.

Yea the part that pulled away was in NE Queens. It looks like a tail is holding on in southern Flushing/Briarwood.

Some backbuilding/training of those MoCo cells. Area from around Great Falls to Kensington and Sligo Creek areas are in trouble if this keeps up. Really bad spot to have training storms.

Looks like some flooding occurring just east of Potomac

Looks like it's back building towards Flushing on my radarscope app.

1.50" so far.