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  2. WxUSAF
    Front has gone through. Breezy and dropping dews.
  3. SouthCoastMA
    69°. Early Nov looks torchy on the ops
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chris only does calls out to like 3 weeks, which is is very skilled at...but he does tend to have CC autism, just as we do with respect to snow. It is a "spectrum", you know.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I got like 10"...I went to sleep very early on because I knew it wasn't my storm...just like in the Jan 2022 event. The lead-up is exhausting, so if I don't think it will produce to a level commensurate to hope/expectations, then I check out.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one is infallible...I'm disregarding. Who knows, maybe he caught a buzz and was feeling gitty....dude is human,
  7. Torch Tiger
    Stein rolls on
  8. Brian5671
    This is so un nino like with the dry conditions. Reminds me of Oct/Nov 2001 73 here right now
  9. MANDA
    Just saw that. Gotta watch the trends on the EURO/AI/EPS more than anything. GFS lowest skill scores of almost any model and just read a piece from NOAA that the October 2026 upgrade from V16 to V17 has been pushed off a year to next October. I hardly use the GFS for anything anymore. I just find it useless, IMO. We'll see how this evolves over the next 5 days or so. Interesting to say the least. Fact that CMC still has wet solution makes me lean in that direction at the moment....pending 12Z EURO/AI/EPS data. Anything is better than the snooze fest that is ongoing now.
  10. straphanger
    Looking at today's 12z GFS run, it looks like it wants to wash out the front late next week and then keep us relatively dry until at least Veterans day.
  11. GaWx
    ^The 12Z UKMET has no TC or even any surface low in this area.
  12. Stormlover74
    73 now
  13. Typhoon Tip
    Just curious ...what did you actually get in that Feb event up your way? Over here - which I consider the western limb of the same sort of "Met district" - we got kind of left out... It was pedestrian here - somewhere around 10" I wanna say. Which is relativistic, haha. I mean, 10" in 1985 would have been a ER visit for a non-terminating orgasm
  14. FPizz
    The main reason...he has said several times NYC would never get a 50" winter or KU again without a VEI 7 or 8 volcano happening. He was doing the whole oh look here thing with keys trying to draw attention away from the blizzard and his terrible blown call.
  15. GaWx
    I understand that. But why did Paul Roundy, whom many of us including myself greatly respect, today post that the 70 hPa signal is still E when it already switched to W (~+3) in Sept per the first source below? Does he use a source that has different values from these two? https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/qbo.dat The above link had it already at ~+3 in Sept. at 70 hPa and then this has it ~+8 at 70 hPa as of 10/28/26: —————————— Paul Roundy @PaulRoundy1 Message Present 70 hPa QBO signal is still easterly. It will likely be changing over the next few months.
  16. WinterWolf
    Huh?
  17. Stormlover74
    Gfs mostly dry now next week Cmc is widespread 2.5"+ though
  18. frontranger8
    Warm and juicy. Doesn't look like much precip in Denver metro, but what falls will almost certainly be plain old rain.
  19. WinterWolf
    That Michigan lilac thing must be a “Michigan” thing…..zero here too.
  20. Ginx snewx
    Lol my Lilacs are void of leaves
  21. Today
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe it lingered just long enough at 70mb to help trigger this...who knows....
  23. donsutherland1
    Both the ECMWF and AIFS show 1" or more precipitation across the region. Here are the average figures for Central Park (IFS-AIFS mean). The conventional ECMWF (IFS) is currently wetter than the AIFS.
  24. HIPPYVALLEY
    64° in downtown Northampton under bright blue skies. What a day!
  25. GaWx
    It changed in Sept from E (white) to W (gray) at 70 hPa and should by now already be well within the gray (say likely +5+) per this (I’m hoping this updates soon to confirm this): Edit: confirmed as it went from -10 in Aug to +3 in Sept. at 70 hPa: https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/qbo.dat Oct should be out in early Nov and will likely be higher than +3.
  26. Winter Wizard
    I've never heard of these guys, nor do I fully understand their methodology, but they nailed the SSW to the day back in August: https://x.com/Statisticizer/status/2090562681321246959?a=Y2KkwpeTt0T4RBobgOE&s=20
  27. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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