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  2. Can't be said enough. The GFS is a perfectly fine model. It doesn't verify as well as the Euro because with all the work on the dynamical core and DA system there's a backlog in all the other bread and butter parts of running a model - obs QC, error parameterization, physics parameters, bias correction etc. etc. It's not "broken" and a few bad performances doesn't mean it will always do worse than other models.
  3. I saw it begin as rain in PMY at like 2-3am and I ran outside and pumped my first because I knew I was golden.
  4. Stay here, and give me a detailed report after how it goes. Trust me-make it happen. Allegria Hotel - ReservationDesk.com
  5. https://x.com/i/status/2024564778669395990 Think this answers your question and to be fair the majority of us thought the GFS op runs from those timeframes were BS too.
  6. Been a while since I’ve had a chance to get back in here to see what’s shakin….and this gem of a storm is what @MillvilleWx has thoughts of!? I’m not sure I have enough beer in the house! ETA: Nah. I’m full of shit. I got enough for everyone in here currently to have 2-3 beers each. No more. No less.
  7. So sorry for your loss @jm1220 my condolences to you and your family brother
  8. lost my dad during covid they put him on a ventilator forget it he was gone didn't even get to say bye to him, but yes like John said spend as much time as you can with them, it's crazy how much you miss them and first few months you can't stop crying after that it gets a bit easier but you're always like man i just wanna hug them at least once more. sorry for getting emotional. stay strong John
  9. Close but not quite in the final quantity. In the that 1978 analysis the 1.5" was the equivalence around 23.0" of snow due to ratios which they stated was a crude estimate at the time but one should get the point. The Cape got less in that due to the track and dry slought of the storm.
  10. We had very little of the wind in eastern MoCo, unless my memory is failing me.
  11. Better than his first guess (still not sure how first guess is different than first call)
  12. He is literally the worst meteorologist I have ever seen....I don't which prominent politician impregnated his sister for him to end up in that position.
  13. Im not 100% sure i am navigating the CISP analogs page correct but came up with this list Individual Analogs 1. 20200306/1800 2. 19800207/0600 3. 20180307/1800 4. 20230314/0000 5. 20130325/1800 6. 20150127/0000 7. 20180313/0000 8. 20140326/0000 9. 19830116/0000 10. 20010305/1800 11. 20060212/1200 12. 19840329/1200 13. 20130306/1800 14. 20110127/0000 15. 19870126/1200
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