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Tomorrow will be especially NoP

Tomorrow

That's not what I said so don't "yup" me... haha. I said the NAM may not be right about the magnitude. I also said the NAM could be wrong about the absolute wind direction - if it's more 240 than indirect cooling is likelier confined to SE zones. The NAM is right to cool the air mass that passes over the Bite water region NE of Jersey, in general

First sunny morning since the cold spell ended in Mid February. Reminds me of California. Cloudy everyday until around 11.

I admit that yesterday was exceptionally nice to be outdoors. And it was obvious judging by the throngs of people on local trails that many, many people were feeling the same way. Having said that, I'm sorry but I found nothing brutal about this winter. I enjoyed every single bitterly cold day we had and I won't apologize for it.

Temps leading up to it have no effect - and ground temps adapt fast to any cold air present at the time the precip is falling - we have had accumulations on the ground in October - I think you know this but are just trying to cause confrontations here

Yup today will be the warmest day

Oh, hey! The sun! In fallston! first time in a week! Even yesterday which finally got warm, was fully cloudy up here. Welcome, sun!

Ended up with a very satisfying .89" for yesterday. Low of 59. House cooled down nicely. AC still off.

Even though there's still opportunities for snow still to come for the next 40 days or so, Winter is basically on life support now. Spring is trying to takeover. And we should all welcome it after those brutal temps we all experienced for 3 months.

In principle the NAM isn't wrong there. It may not be correct about the degree/offset, but if the wind is well mixing and actively SSW across the area ... that's sourced from the very cold Bite waters. It's a matter of how much. If the vector's more 240 it'll be confined to SE zones.

AC will be humming this afternoon. Got up to 71 in the house yesterday and I'm not down with that nonsense again today.

Well there's at least 2 that I've never once seen "waffle" - doesn't mean they're right but I think you're being a little too dismissive just because they don't fit your narrative.

MAV nailed the 20s ... I was doubting that but nice job there Equally handsome could be the recovery ... if so, one of if not the greatest of the year. possible 40 F +

February, but in a sea of warmth we had a snowstorm. I mean 60s and 70s and it snowed. It all has to do with intensity, track and cold air. Basically all the normal ingredients we just lose some light snow during daytime ability.

Winters of yore

Surprising low of 32 this morning in Marysville. I am looking forward to our warm up the next few days.

Don’t worry, next model run they will change their tune, lol, they waffle just like everyone else.

That should be tossed to the sun

Lots of black ice here. My coworker took a digger

10 years ago today I got to 79F

There's no doubt that warming is accelerating. The blue line in the chart below is the warming rate over the previous 30-years using GISS. The 30-year warming rate started to increase at the start of the 2015/16 nino and has been increasing steadily since then. The latest 30-year warming rate includes a little over 10 years of faster warming and roughly 20 years at the slower pre-15/16 nino rate, so the chart is completely consistent with the 0.35/decade rate for the past 10 years estimated in the paper. Note that it would take until 2045 for the current warming rate to be fully reflected in the 30-year rate, assuming it continues. When warming started to increase in 1970, the 30-year warming rate didn't stabilize until the 1990s. The red line takes the current 30-year warming rate and extrapolates temperatures in 2050 under the assumption that warming will continue at the same rate as the last 30 years. The projection is conservative as the faster recent warming rate isn't fully reflected in the 30-year rate. Warming will have to slow down somewhat to hit the latest 2050 number. Of course we don't know the future. The main factor determining 2050 temperatures is our emissions. The recent increase reflects increased man-made forcing as greenhouse gases continue to increase; while, cooling aerosols have dropped. We have agency, but our ability to influence 2050 temperatures decreases as more and more of our emission trajectory gets baked in. Our odds of staying under 2C are decreasing.

In keeping with the 1970s comparison; 1.) NYC hit 70+ three times in March of 1977: March 10: 70 March 29: 78 March 30: 75 March 31 close with 69 2.) NYC hit 80+ three times in April 1977: April 12: 85 April 13: 85 April 22: 83 Can we get as warm as 1977? Would be nice for a change.

Salting this morning lol. Going to be 60d next 4 days. So much for a car wash today

Still a good amount of snow left.. should take a hit today though