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90.3F here!

Shut em down!

I'm sitting this one out regardless due to an impending trip to Africa, but I do not foresee a big US threat.

lfg

many of us will not see another NE hurricane in our lifetime. Sucks

Another inch of rain down… More to come today?

89 / 68 More clouds than the past few days / week

It would be fitting to the general mood if the system disappears and never even makes it across the Atlantic

As long as you dry off quickly it's pretty comfortable. If the evaporative cooling gets going with these low dew points...brrrr

Headlong into it

It's really remarkable. Been working in the shade mostly and it's almost pleasant. That's what low dew points will do for you. Negative heat indexes.

I honestly don’t know why you guys do this in winter and summer. You would hear a lot more excitement if this was more of a likely hit, from the Mets. Trust me, I would love some excitement, but not this time.

it's not just 'stable' air. There is SAL, and SAL is a micro-physical inhibitor. There can be an unstable sounding ...having lapse rates and so forth. But SAL particles create an over proficient condensation process onto particulate (nano dust) surfaces. Think of it like an 'atmospheric sponge' soaking up the water prior to cloud genesis. Sort of a cartoon metaphor lol. Dry air is another aspect. The tropical instability requires more than just lapse rates for TC engine. WV> 25C wet bulb needs to be maintained.

Im still tracking but this is looking like a miss. Meh

Both urban and rural NJ sections weren’t consistently as warm as they have been since 2010. Getting 30+ and 40+ days reaching 90° only happened from time to time with many cooler seasons under 20 days and even 10 days. These days most of the seasons are over 30 days with the cooler seasons under 20 or 10 days hard to come by anymore.

92 pool closing degrees

It would be interesting to compare the interior of Antarctic's atmospheric chemistry/constituencies, against the regions outside during strong +AAO circulation modes persisting.

How 'bout. I'm actually almost 16" ahead of you, although still waiting for my first August precip (hopefully tomorrow). That 2+ inches I got on July 31, along with some cool nights, have prevented things from looking too bad down my way. That's not to say the nut grass hasn't taken over my yard, damn pesky stuff.

And actually ... it further elucidates my point when observing that during that same span of time, the N. Hemisphere is much closer to 2023 and 2024. ...So that strikes me pretty hard at this point that the Antarctic peregrinations are casting a false allusion to cooler world. Obviously, the Antarctic is part of this world - but the principle idea is that it's uniquely secluded due to its total geophysical circumstance doesn't reflect what is available to take place anywhere else. It's a 'weighting' concern.

87/70/92

Gfs east of Bermuda. Keep tracking!

Not attempting any acclaim to shame vs fame, either way, but using the Climate Reanalyzer, there appears to be a correlation between the Antarctic vs the rest of the Globe. There were significant downward spikes spanning some 3 to 5 days in the ongoing registry of the Antarctic daily temperatures, ~ July 5 and again July 25, then very recently ( see blw). Then looking over the curve of the entire planet during those same periods gives a coherent impression that the two curves are moving together in time. I think the Antarctic, having unique geologic circumstance that effectively closes it off from the rest of the world ... particularly during the +annular modes whence the PV is > median strength, ... it draws me to question using that to "weight" the world down. The Antarctic can circumstantially "protect" it's cold during +AAOs, which we can see here ... we've spent the ballast of the last 2.5 months in that circulation mode, My 'numerical suspicion' is that this is more of an artifact that looks like global cooling, holding the entirety of world averages down. The problem with that is geophysical. The Antarctics uniqueness tends to isolate it during these stronger positive excursions; I think that should be considered when assessing a whole planet that does not share in the unique geophysical capacity the Antarctic has for lesser homogeny with the surrounding world, during episodic circulation seclusion. I'm saying - in part - that a cooler 2025 ...mm I'm not sure that's really what's going on, when we're merely dealing in aberrant positive annular modes of the AAO. When/if the AAO goes negative, we may find that the total global temperature rebounds.

KFIT tD still in the 50s Nearby PWS is at 62 87F

93/61 at Echo Lake State Park. It’s quite comfortable in the shade.