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lfg

many of us will not see another NE hurricane in our lifetime. Sucks

Another inch of rain down… More to come today?

89 / 68 More clouds than the past few days / week

It would be fitting to the general mood if the system disappears and never even makes it across the Atlantic

As long as you dry off quickly it's pretty comfortable. If the evaporative cooling gets going with these low dew points...brrrr

Headlong into it

It's really remarkable. Been working in the shade mostly and it's almost pleasant. That's what low dew points will do for you. Negative heat indexes.

I honestly don’t know why you guys do this in winter and summer. You would hear a lot more excitement if this was more of a likely hit, from the Mets. Trust me, I would love some excitement, but not this time.

it's not just 'stable' air. There is SAL, and SAL is a micro-physical inhibitor. There can be an unstable sounding ...having lapse rates and so forth. But SAL particles create an over proficient condensation process onto particulate (nano dust) surfaces. Think of it like an 'atmospheric sponge' soaking up the water prior to cloud genesis. Sort of a cartoon metaphor lol. Dry air is another aspect. The tropical instability requires more than just lapse rates for TC engine. WV> 25C wet bulb needs to be maintained.

Im still tracking but this is looking like a miss. Meh

Both urban and rural NJ sections weren’t consistently as warm as they have been since 2010. Getting 30+ and 40+ days reaching 90° only happened from time to time with many cooler seasons under 20 days and even 10 days. These days most of the seasons are over 30 days with the cooler seasons under 20 or 10 days hard to come by anymore.

92 pool closing degrees

It would be interesting to compare the interior of Antarctic's atmospheric chemistry/constituencies, against the regions outside during strong +AAO circulation modes persisting.

How 'bout. I'm actually almost 16" ahead of you, although still waiting for my first August precip (hopefully tomorrow). That 2+ inches I got on July 31, along with some cool nights, have prevented things from looking too bad down my way. That's not to say the nut grass hasn't taken over my yard, damn pesky stuff.

And actually ... it further elucidates my point when observing that during that same span of time, the N. Hemisphere is much closer to 2023 and 2024. ...So that strikes me pretty hard at this point that the Antarctic peregrinations are casting a false allusion to cooler world. Obviously, the Antarctic is part of this world - but the principle idea is that it's uniquely secluded due to its total geophysical circumstance doesn't reflect what is available to take place anywhere else. It's a 'weighting' concern.

87/70/92

Gfs east of Bermuda. Keep tracking!

Not attempting any acclaim to shame vs fame, either way, but using the Climate Reanalyzer, there appears to be a correlation between the Antarctic vs the rest of the Globe. There were significant downward spikes spanning some 3 to 5 days in the ongoing registry of the Antarctic daily temperatures, ~ July 5 and again July 25, then very recently ( see blw). Then looking over the curve of the entire planet during those same periods gives a coherent impression that the two curves are moving together in time. I think the Antarctic, having unique geologic circumstance that effectively closes it off from the rest of the world ... particularly during the +annular modes whence the PV is > median strength, ... it draws me to question using that to "weight" the world down. The Antarctic can circumstantially "protect" it's cold during +AAOs, which we can see here ... we've spent the ballast of the last 2.5 months in that circulation mode, My 'numerical suspicion' is that this is more of an artifact that looks like global cooling, holding the entirety of world averages down. The problem with that is geophysical. The Antarctics uniqueness tends to isolate it during these stronger positive excursions; I think that should be considered when assessing a whole planet that does not share in the unique geophysical capacity the Antarctic has for lesser homogeny with the surrounding world, during episodic circulation seclusion. I'm saying - in part - that a cooler 2025 ...mm I'm not sure that's really what's going on, when we're merely dealing in aberrant positive annular modes of the AAO. When/if the AAO goes negative, we may find that the total global temperature rebounds.

KFIT tD still in the 50s Nearby PWS is at 62 87F

93/61 at Echo Lake State Park. It’s quite comfortable in the shade.

I guess sea-breeze boundary is something to watch for tomorrow. The HRRR has been dreadful this summer in terms of convection but I think it is onto something.

My dews have gone above 70 three days running

JFK has had nearly as many record and near record highs as Newark in the fall during recent years even though it’s a much cooler location. JFK had record heat into early November last year with the developing drought. So fall record heat has been a constant in recent years. JFK September and October numerous near and record highs since 2015 9/1 92 in 2012 92 in 2010 91 in 1969+ 9/2 93 in 1973 93 in 1961 93 in 1953 9/3 93 in 2015 93 in 1993 92 in 1957 9/4 93 in 2018 93 in 1985 92 in 1961 9/5 94 in 1961 93 in 2023 92 in 1985+ 9/6 93 in 2023 92 in 1985 90 in 1998+ 9/7 93 in 1983 92 in 2023 92 in 1978 9/8 92 in 2010 91 in 2015 87 in 2013+ 9/9 93 in 1959 91 in 2016 88 in 1964 9/10 98 in 1983 92 in 1989 90 in 1961 9/11 96 in 1983 91 in 1989 89 in 1961 9/12 91 in 1981 90 in 2005 90 in 1952 9/13 94 in 1952 89 in 1994 89 in 1957 9/14 89 in 1995 89 in 1972 88 in 1981+ 9/15 85 in 2008 82 in 2009 82 in 1997+ 9/16 89 in 1991 88 in 1998 88 in 1970 9/17 90 in 1991 84 in 2015 84 in 1969 9/18 90 in 1965 86 in 2021 86 in 1964+ 9/19 90 in 1983 87 in 2024 85 in 2022+ 9/20 85 in 1997 85 in 1983 84 in 2024 9/21 85 in 2016 83 in 2004 83 in 1989 9/22 91 in 1980 87 in 1961 86 in 1970 9/23 90 in 1970 89 in 1961 88 in 2017+ 9/24 92 in 2017 88 in 1970 86 in 1961 9/25 87 in 2010 85 in 2017 83 in 2011 9/26 87 in 1970 85 in 1958 82 in 1968 9/27 89 in 1998 87 in 2017 84 in 2014+ 9/28 82 in 1948 81 in 1961 81 in 1959+ 9/29 82 in 1948 81 in 2019 81 in 1959 9/30 84 in 1986 82 in 1959 80 in 1971+ 10/1 85 in 1986 84 in 1954 84 in 1950 10/2 95 in 2019 85 in 2013 82 in 2002+ 10/3 84 in 2002 82 in 2000 81 in 1969 10/4 84 in 1967 83 in 1959 83 in 1954 10/5 84 in 1967 83 in 2017 83 in 2002+ 10/6 88 in 1997 85 in 1995 83 in 1959 10/7 83 in 2007 83 in 1961 82 in 1997 10/8 90 in 2007 78 in 1959 77 in 2021 10/9 87 in 2011 82 in 1961 82 in 1959 10/10 86 in 1997 84 in 2017 84 in 2011 10/11 80 in 1960 77 in 2017 77 in 1969+ 10/12 83 in 1969 81 in 1962 79 in 1995+ 10/13 79 in 1995 78 in 2008 77 in 1989 10/14 82 in 1990 82 in 1975 80 in 2021 10/15 82 in 1975 79 in 2000 78 in 1990 10/16 79 in 2008 77 in 1964 76 in 1963 10/17 82 in 1963 76 in 1996 75 in 2016+ 10/18 77 in 1964 75 in 2016 75 in 2006 10/19 86 in 2016 75 in 1965 74 in 1998+ 10/20 81 in 1969 79 in 2021 79 in 1984 10/21 81 in 1963 80 in 1949 78 in 2024 10/22 80 in 2024 77 in 1984 77 in 1975 10/23 77 in 1978 74 in 2007 73 in 2017 10/24 74 in 2017 73 in 2001 72 in 2024+ 10/25 77 in 2001 73 in 2022 73 in 2021+ 10/26 78 in 1971 75 in 1989 75 in 1963 10/27 78 in 1963 75 in 1989 73 in 1964 10/28 81 in 2023 76 in 2010 75 in 1989+ 10/29 80 in 1971 74 in 2015 74 in 2014+ 10/30 79 in 1961 77 in 1950 73 in 2024+ 10/31 78 in 2024 75 in 1950 74 in 2004+ 11/1 82 in 2024 80 in 1950 77 in 1982

Old Davis still ticking. 1.41" yesterday, high of 89.9. 7.65" for the month, passing July's total of 7.24".