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Well, 2011-2012 was a Modoki La Nina and I'm willing to bet that much of the balance of that data set was, as well. I'll sell that-

Could start to see Stein setting back in on modeling earlier this week . Lawns will start torching pike south next week in heat end of week

HM, in the extensive blog he wrote up right after the 11-12 winter titled “GLAAMOUROUS”. Also, Eric Webb actually touched on this association a few times last fall and cited a bunch of studies on it

Always the bridesmaid. Missed the cores to south and east. At least the pollen got washed away.

I don't know where you get this from....

Ha

If we see a cold-ENSO (cold-neutral/weak La Niña), along with the almost certain -QBO, I’m not so sure we see the strong poleward ridging that we did last winter in the PAC. The +QBO/cold-ENSO we had last winter supported the poleward ridging we saw. -QBO/cold-ENSO favors a flatter, equatorial PAC ridge. As far as the arctic and Atlantic, I would agree with you. The solar/geomag states, QBO evolution and the North Atlantic SSTA profile, at this very early stage obviously, would seemingly not be very supportive of big high latitude blocking in those domains

It could very well be a feedback process causing these big ridge expansions further north than we used to get back in the old days. These very strong ridges to the east of New England have been the norm. So the 500 mb ridges warm the waters below and the warmer waters could promote stronger 500mb ridges. Plus there could be remote teleconnections involved from marine heatwaves closer to the equator. Our first 90° Heat of the season is following a familiar theme. The mid 90s major heat missed our area to the north. So the record heat for June 5th was up in Maine and New Hampshire. This was the 2nd year in a row with record early June heat in those areas. Even closer to home, Danbury was 3° warmer than Newark in more over the top to the north fashion. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 0409 AM EDT FRI JUN 06 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT AUGUSTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT AUGUSTA YESTERDAY, JUNE 5TH. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 88 DEGREES SET IN 2024. Data for June 5, 2025 through June 5, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NH ROCHESTER SKYHAVEN AP WBAN 96 ME FRYEBURG EASTERN SLOPES REGL AP WBAN 95 NH MANCHESTER AIRPORT WBAN 94 NH LEBANON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 93 ME AUGUSTA STATE AIRPORT WBAN 92 Data for June 5, 2025 through June 5, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 93 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 93 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 91 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 90 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 90 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 90

What a blessing all these widespread soaking rains have been before the heart of the summer. 0.58” yesterday

Low of 71 this morning. Boo

Looks like some decent hail within that storm near Tip

50 dBZ over 30,000 ft at 7 am. Not too shabby.

Yeah models cut back on the warmth. Blah.

Yeah today is central MA to NH. Stein S and E of there through tomorrow. Weekend decent. Figured it would be ok as I saw the Stein and it opened up my eyes I saw the Stein.

Well Summer was fun. Might not hit 80 again for nearly a week.

My high was 88. Lots of cirrus clouds yesterday.

You can see how today’s going to go right? North of rte 2 is porked by morning stuff for later.

Howie looking? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

Topped out @ 91 here yesterday.

Thunder here. Light rain.

Big cracks here, looks like it'll take the slip lane though, as always.....

Had a few rumbles an hour or two ago. two tenths of rain this morning so far.

Nevermind died on approach

Got home late from work yesterday, so I forgot to check, but my high was 93.