All Activity

That event went just south of the NYC to EWR corridor so the lack of a 4” daily measurement in those locations made sense.

Oh I can shrug it off because I will never allow weather to impact my life in the way it does to some other people here..

What else is new!?

They have been posted extensively here which is more than I can say about your data.

Kev please please remember my 2015 posts. I am totally satiated and whatever came after that is just a bonus. Snow is cool but seen enough in this life to be happy. If 2015 never happened I would be seeking the holy grail. But alas I also know my climo and winter has a long long way to go.

It does, but I find the older I get the easier (far easier) it is to dismiss. And we were lucky on the Dec 2nd storm. Hopefully your area can wring something out of this weekend whatever it is system

This is the 4th time we’ve seen a TR of frozen this winter. Maybe that bodes well?

Records: Highs: EWR: 68 (1931) NYC: 68 (1931) LGA: 66 (2015) JFK: 64 (2015) Lows: EWR: 6 (1988) NYC: 5 (1988) LGA: 8 (1988) JFK: 7 (1988) Historical: 1882 - Portland, OR, was drenched with 7.66 inches of rain, a record 24 hour total for that location. (12th-13th) (The Weather Channel) 1917: Dec. 12-13, Richmond had 8.0 inches on the 12th followed by 1.4 inches on the 13th and 1.0 inches on the 14th for a total of 10.4 inches of snow. The snow cover from this storm lasted for more than a week an after another, smaller snowstorm near Christmas, temperatures plunged to the lowest levels ever recorded in December. On Dec. 30, Richmond woke up to a low of -2°F. 1960 - The first of three Middle Atlantic snowstorms produced a foot of snow at Baltimore MD. A pre-winter blizzard struck the northeastern U.S. producing wind gusts as high as 51 mph, along with 16 inches of snow at Nantucket MA, and 20 inches at Newark NJ. (David Ludlum) 1960: On December 12th 13.0 inches of snow fell over the Boston, Massachusetts area. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) Washington, DC. received 8.5 inches of snow from this storm.(Ref. Wilson Wx. Additional information) 1967: December 12th - 20th Flagstaff, Arizona: A series of snow storms buries Flagstaff with 86.0 inches of snow.(Ref. WxDoctor) 1967: New Mexico was bombarded by 11 days of heavy snow beginning on this date. Food had to be airlifted in to some areas. The Reservations of the Native Americans were especially hard hit. Flagstaff, AZ was buried under 86 inches of snow. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1969 - The worst tornado of record for western Washington State tracked south of Seattle, traveling five miles, from Des Moines to Kent. The tornado, 50 to 200 yards in width, began as a waterspout over Puget Sound. One person was injured and the tornado caused half a million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1982: 6.6 inches of snowfall was greatest single December snowfall since 1973. The New England Patriots defeated the Miami Dolphins in driving snow at Foxboro, MA. With snow covering the field and New England in position to kick a game winning field goal, New England Head Coach Ron Meyer ordered the path to be cleared for the field goal attempt. The move was against the rules, but no one stopped him. Place kicker John Smith made the kick and the Patriots won the game 3-0. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - While a developing winter storm began to spread snow across New Mexico into Colorado, high winds ushered unseasonably cold air into the southwestern states. Winds in California gusted to 60 mph in the Sacramento River Delta, and in the San Bernardino Valley. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Cold arctic air spread from the Great Lakes Region to the Appalachian Region. Twenty-five cities, mostly in the northeastern U.S., reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 12 degrees below zero at Albany NY was their coldest reading of record for so early in the season. Saranac Lake NY was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 28 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A winter storm produced snow from northern Mississippi to the Middle Atlantic Coast, with 10.5 inches reported at Powhatan VA. Heavy snow whitened the Black Hills of South Dakota, with 36 inches reported at Deer Mountain. Thirteen cities in the north central U.S., from Minnesota to Texas, reported record low temperatures for the date, including Duluth MN and Yankton SD with morning lows of 22 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995 - A severe coastal storm is blamed for five deaths and loss of power to over one million people in Oregon and Washington. Winds at Sea Lion Caves near Florence topped out at 119 mph before problems developed with the anemometer. In Newport, a gust of 107 mph occurred downtown, while Astoria and Cape Blanco also had gusts of over 100 mph. Astoria's air pressure dropped as low as 28.53 inches, an all-time record (and comparable to the central pressure of a Category 2 hurricane!). Gusts in the Willamette Valley exceeded 60 mph. 1995: An intense ocean storm at 28.11 inches of mercury battered the West Coast. In Oregon, wind gusts hit 119 mph at Florence, 112 mph at Cannon Beach and 107 mph at Newport. Northern and central California was hit very hard. Wind gusts reached 103 mph at Angel Island, 85 mph at Redding and 74 mph at San Francisco. Three people were killed by falling trees. The San Francisco Conservatory sustained $10 million dollars in damages due to structural failure, broken windows and destroyed plants. Three Peaks was deluged with 21.22 inches of rain. Other heavy totals included 12.27 inches at the Marin Civic Center, 10.64 inches at Blue Canyon and 5.01 inches at San Francisco. Oakland was soaked with 2.66 inches in just 45 minutes. Nearly 2 million people were without power at one time. Seattle, WA and Astoria, OR recorded their lowest pressures on record with 970.2 (28.65 inches of mercury) and 966.1 millibars (28.53 inches of mercury) respectively. This storm was the worst to strike the region in 16 years. Six people lost their lives. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) A 5-day lake effect snowstorm came to an end at Sault Ste Marie, MI over which time 61.7 inches of snow fell, by far the city's biggest snowstorm on record. 27.8 inches fell in 24 hours on the 9th and 10th establishing their all-time 24 hour snowfall record. The snow depth reached 50 inches at one point, tying the record. The storm brought the monthly total to 82.5 inches, the city's greatest monthly snowfall ever. International Falls, MN set a record low with -39 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008 - A significant ice storm wreaked havoc across New York and New England on December 12, disrupting electricity and leaving over 1 million homes and businesses without power. New Hampshire alone had as many as 320,000 residents without power, which according to reports it was described as the worst outages in 30 years (Reuters). Four fatalities were reported and parts of Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York, and Maine declared a state of emergency (BBC News).

Well, he did just get a coaching job again

Asking you about your methodologies and whether they actually make sense meteorologically or whether it's an overfitting of observational data is stirring up controversy now?

Yeah, that one is absolutely ridiculous because they were two instances in February 2024 we’re almost every single surrounding place recorded at least 4 inches of snow, including JFK, which received around 8 inches of snow in that surprise snow band that’s set up in mid February 2024. However, the snowstorm that was earlier that month had all places around Central Park receiving at least 5 inches of snow and somehow Central Park just below 4 inches. Even last year around the MLK day snow event, all other recording sites and most areas nearby were able to just reach 4 inches if I’m not mistaken. Somehow Central Park always comes up short

You seem to dip into these threads to try to stir up controversy and add snarky comments rather than add to value to the ongoing discussions.

That is the biggest crock of BS and you know it. The king of ACATT and winter Poetry . It has bothered you immensely

Wow so much for holiday cheer

So just 5 weeks to get through?

Is it me or does it seem like models can sniff out a warm period from weeks away and they never seem deviate. A modeled cold period can go poof in one random run.

But at times it’s got to get to you . And you’ve also had a nice snowstorm already.

27 / 11 clear. Cold the next 96 hours - coldest Sun evening to Tuesday overnight. Overnight Saturday into Sunday snow squall/showers bring widespread light snowfall Coasting - 2 inches , 3 in some local spots to the south and east. Moderation to and above normal as ridge builds from the MO valley east between the 18th and Christmas. Beyond there closer to normal overall with back and forth shots of cold briefly then warming up. White Christmas looks in jeopardy, perhaps timed right for New Years eve ala Dec 30 2000?

Posted through the entirety of last winter and had a very good one forecasting wise. Had a very good one the year prior too.

Some know some don't. Dont you have a clogged drain to unplug? I mean get a dog call him life and you will have one. Pretending to be a Meteorologist is very sad. Why would anyone do that.

WB latest weeklies.....as we go through January it looks better....showing roughly 3rd week.

0.0 final call

I‘m in. RRFS has been consistent, say want you want about that model. That’s the one I’ll be watching for any changes. Let’s get a few inches to put us in the holiday mood.

Like I said a couple days ago, if this covers the grass completely and makes it look outside like it feels, I'd consider that a big win. Hopefully we can get a bit more like 3-5" but this is a very fast moving system that's getting squashed SE, so it can't really amp in time and the fast flow is pushing it east. The squashed like a bug models can still verify where we get little or maybe an inch or two because this is still overall a hostile pattern for snow. We'll have to see at 12z if the more amped models have a clue or it gets squashed like a bug.

33 with flurries falling