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Well, at some point, one model is going to fold like a cheap pants tent.

Baseline forecast at this point probably is like 1-4” for the metro areas. I think it’s good news that most of the IVT precip falls after dark Sunday evening into early Monday, which obviously helps with accumulation. Precise location of the jackpot might be tougher to nail down until like Saturday.

Can't get a freaking noreaster anymore only 1 in the past 2 years possibly 2...

Im someone with high expectations, even winters like 2021-2022 that had a lot of snow didn’t really impress me since there was no staying power. Based on our seasonal snow (so far) relative to normal, temps and snow cover, this winter has impressed me more than any winter we have had since the legendary 14-15 winter.

yeah Glass Joe vs King Hippo

I love that song too. The dice got me in. Euro cave at HH? (sure, it's *probably* not happening, but I'm going to suspend my disbelief)

But I've seen it in line with the gfs when all other models show something different

This could be the worse GFS fail I have ever witnessed. 3 days out and showing a blizzard and on Sunday we'll be dealing with snizzle. smh

The tug of war continues lol.

Long time lurker, first time poster. I think the writing is on the wall with this one, unfortunately. GFS vs ECMWF/EPS/Euro-AI/UKM does not bode well 9 times out of 10. Barring a major shift on the 12z euro, i think the only thing that keeps this threat alive is if we see increased support for the GFS solution on the EPS. If the EPS holds serve or even shifts east then I think a GFS solution is off the table. Regardless, this will be a close call and could easily still turn into an advisory-level event for some.

the NAM is in essence useless beyond 48-60, it can do anything possible beyond that and you cannot really put faith in it at all being right or not.

All this gnashing of teeth for nothing. A reliable source says all systems go .

Its slightly closer to the coast than 6z, but it's unremarkable on the way out. So there's that. 18z GFS should be fun! Or horrible. But this run of the Euro ain't it

Since. 1992. The Great Snow Era. Since 1890 it’s 51.

Euro going to be closer. Going to just miss the phase. Out to 75. Nvm its way ots but has a norlun trough.

You underrate this winter and overrate Drake Maye.

Excellent song choice

WB 12Z AI from the trough

Huh? You get two feet in a single storm and it is called a dream???? Negative Nancy.

For sure…I mean it’s purely for entertainment purposes. The rug pulls are epic for the coastals especially. So tenuous. .

Definitely not GFS like. Gets some light stuff in the vicinity around hour 69

I'll take "never" for $500 Alex!

3 days out? Never. It doesn't even have the nam on its side

Euro ai h5 track is actually pretty good though tbh

The GFS is the only one that stuck to the big hit idea, all the others moved off of it. We can all see where this is going when the GFS is on its own. When was the last time it scored a coup when it was on its own? I honestly don't remember