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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  3. What was the point of his post? Like ‘ever stopped and wondered what would happen if you gave Sydney Sweeney a zerbert?’ btw I’ll let you all know what happens as soon as I complete my fact finding mission. Who gives a shit about the PV.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  5. Forky works at the Old Fatmers Almanac?
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  7. So when it snows this winter…where will you be hiding?
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  9. Tonight’s 84hr nam is now at a valid time where the model will no longer be running.
  10. I’ll take this October, what a beautiful stretch of weather we’ve had.
  11. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  12. Warm and rainy lock it in. There's zero cold air anywhere.
  13. Agree the week of Thanksgiving 2027 should be the first shot at flurries.
  14. Looks like you squashed the snot out of it.
  15. I dont think this will even end up+-PDO which would make this winter odd,the waters into the Sea of Japan are extremly warm and still should be much colder,dunno,it updates next week,use this https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/v6/index/ersst.v6.pdo.dat
  16. Lots of orange on this thing - looks like a mild winter
  17. A history that’s only what…As old as recent modern records lol? Ya, that’s not a huge history/data set in the grand scheme of things. And if that’s the only thing you are considering…then maybe you aren’t seeing the full picture either. Just saying..
  18. People actually think this is going to be a good winter. What are y'all smoking. This is the strongest El Nino in history. Going to be an end to end torch. Shorts for Christmas, New years, and Valentines day. Accept your fate, and move onto talking about next winter.
  19. 15/16 was the only winter forecast I ever nailed. I said warm winter with one big storm after MLK day. I said this on Veterans Day 2015.
  20. i can confirm that this is not the case. only 1 measurable snowfall since 2020, and that occurred on halloween 2023 (0.9").
  21. Does anybody use Open Mateo? If so, what kind of experiences do they have?
  22. Here is my track record for the 15 cities that I do seasonal snowfall forecasts for....mid Atlantic killed me in a couple of seasons....13th will be next week.
  23. Today's Highs: ACY: 76 JFK: 75 EWR: 74 New Brnswck: 74 PHL: 74 BLM: 74 TEB: 73 ISP: 73 TTN: 73 LGA: 70 NYC: 70
  24. The summers haven't lengthened 2 months is my point. This October is very abnormal warmth wise, especially out your way. Im not sure what your exact averages are being 80 miles south of Chicago, but the Chicago area saw several October snowfalls in recent years. Naturally Michigan or Wisconsin are colder, but you cant consider a top 10 or 5 month "normal". November looks to start with well above avg temperatures, and it will be interesting to see how the back half of the month plays out, because November has the largest difference of any month from first to last day of the month, so the natural quick descent into winter November sees will be fighting the influence of a strong nino.
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