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Nam run wasn’t super great but the end of the 3k was going absolutely nuclear over us with the deform band.

Hey @mgerb- curious if you have any feedback from NWS folks or any comments on my long post above outlining my rationale. TIA.

The 0z Farmer’s Almanac has a 200 mile shift west!

It does countless wonky things on this run. But hey who knows. Not us. .

Foot+ in ENC. Pretty much all guidance is a snowstorm in this area. Probably the highest confidence area.

Oh so we're back to the "Oh that run wasnt good we toss" part of the storm lol

crossposting from MA to get y'alls opinions: I don't really buy the extreme east double barrel low depicted on the 18z euro, and to a greater extent, the 00z NAM. Doesn't really feel super realistic.

You can’t win all the models over.

Gonna get se areas anyways on this run.

Nam wayyyyy OTS

Maybe the ICON will save us.

Yeah NAM not going to get it done but it is the NAM

Thankfully its the NAM more than 2 days out

I'm still learning, but the 0z nam panel below has this new energy I havent seen on other runs that seems to consolidate. It seems a lot stronger, and on the surface sim radar panel it shows low placement over the carribbean. Is that inconsequential or something drawing our system more SE? Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

Luckily the NAM is pretty much by itself. I don’t know of any other model that shows what it is. Definitely on an island alone.

We got NAM'ed alright, NAM'ed right in the @#%

Hello Wake County dry slot from hell

Nam will be fine for coastal NC/SC but there's a trend on the NAM pushing more confluence

It dug a little more but went negative tilt too late. It is the long range nam. The upper low was not too far off the 18z euro

Don’t go hangin your hat on the Nam. It’s the Nam.

NAM didn’t do well with the last storm. And doesn’t perform well with Miller A in general. .

Jac Whackoff?

Keep dreaming

Trof has more positive tilt than 18z

i’m convinced the NAM model hates me. It’s personal. It knows it’s me. .