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I'm glad I'm in my happy place bubble avoiding that nonsense then. Atleast nyers are crazy but sane. Can't say the same about the jersey people coming up with that nonsense.

Concerning the E Coast storm development and possible ST development... I wanted to share my thoughts and throw this out there for food for thought. @weatherwiz, has the below crossed you mind? @ineedsnow will be like "BRING IT ON!" as to subtropical development. @CoastalWxwill just be "MEH" b/c it makes zero difference in Weymouth! Sometimes in forecast meteorology you have to think proactively in the abstract at times for those potential outlier events, otherwise you can get "caught behind the 8-ball," playing catch-up and making excuses. This current E Coast storm situation reminds me a bit of Sandy's situation, except reversed! A non-tropical low possibly becoming ST near the E Coast and how can it be handled. I know of no cases where an ET low warm secluded and became a ST storm near the Mid-Atlantic or New England coast. Yes, the Perfect Storm in 1991 did this, and so did the Oct 2021 biggie (Wanda later), but those TCs formed way E out to sea after the local ET storm impacts had gone. Not the same when you have ongoing ET low impacts on land, and then the low transitions to a ST storm and gets a name! I may be reaching a bit here, but I think this particular storm situation warrants some added attention. ECMWF and UKMET suggest ST transition is possible off the Mid-Atlantic or New England coast. Clear warm core to 500 and SSTs easily are in range. Phase diagrams show a fairly good symmetric warm core. NHC does not even mention it on their 7-day TWO? I find this a bit odd. Many, many times they will put in something even if the slightest chance of ST development for systems like this. Just b/c it is close to the coast and may cause confusing in messaging is irrelevant to the met science! It is what it is. You can't pick and choose. Yes, I know it's not so simple as to how things work overall, but that does not make me wrong in this context. In this age of social media, do you want ppl calling you out as to "this thing is clearly ST, and yet nothing from NHC". Not good PR. It is even more precarious in this case. Why?, I can not recall a nor'easter this strong for the E Coast in Sep, so SSTs are near climo peak, and they are 2-4 C above avg S of New England. Extraordinary/outlier patterns can lead to extraordinary/outlier events, and we have the knowledge/skill to fcst such much better now, and so should use it. I've seen NHC highlight baroclinic systems in the subtropical EPAC that have no chance of development and give it 0/0, and also in the Atlantic many times, so again, don't tell me there is not anything here to outlook. If anything, it is more important due to proximity to the coast. Thoughts?

In the warm section here. High was 79 and humid. Only picked up .02" today.

Here it comes . Keep ramping her up . Can see that dead zone in E Ma up into S NH in lowland downslope

Concerning the E Coast storm development and possible ST development... I wanted to share my thoughts and throw this out there for food for thought. Sometimes in forecast meteorology you have to think proactively in the abstract at time for those potential outlier events, otherwise you can get "caught behind the 8-ball," playing catch-up and making excuses. This current E Coast storm situation reminds me a bit of Sandy's situation, except reversed! A non-tropical low possibly becoming ST near the E Coast and how can it be handled. I may be reaching a bit here, but I think this particular storm situation warrants some added attention. ECMWF and UKMET suggest ST transition is possible off the Mid-Atlantic or New England coast. Clear warm core to 500 and SSTs easily are in range. Phase diagrams show a fairly good symmetric warm core. I know of no cases where a ET low warm secluded and became a ST storm near the Mid-Atlantic or New England coast. Yes, the Perfect Storm in 1991 did this, and so did the Oct 2021 biggie (Wanda later), but those TCs formed way E out to sea after the local ET storm impacts had gone. Not the same when you have ongoing ET low impacts on land, and then the low transitions to a ST storm and gets a name! NHC does not even mention it on the 7-day TWO? I find this a bit odd. Many, many times they will put in something even if the slightest chance ST development for systems like this. Just b/c it is close to the coast and may cause confusing in messaging is irrelevant to the met science! It is what it is. You can't pick and choose. Yes, I know it not so simple as to how things work overall, but that does not make me wrong in this context. In this age of social media, do you want ppl calling you out as to "this thing is clearly ST, and yet nothing from NHC". Not good PR. It is even more precarious in this case. Why?, I can not recall a nor'easter this strong for the E Coast in Sep, so SSTs are near climo peak, and they are 2-4 C above avg S of New England. Extraordinary/outlier patterns can lead to extraordinary/outlier events, and we have the knowledge/skill to fcst such much better now, and so should use it. I've seen NHC highlight baroclinic system in the subtropical EPAC that have no chance of development and given it 0/0, and also in the Atlantic many times, so again, don't tell me there is not anything here to outlook. If anything, it is more important due to proximity to the coast. Thoughts?

ok thank you for your careful analysis of the evolution of the current geopolitical situation in the middle east

30mph gusts and a cold, pouring rain should require some drinks

It's still inverted, but that's the strongest I've seen from any model at that level.

Oh we know.

Funky Murphy's emergency GTG? Brunch?

People on Twitter are absolutely losing their minds. Lot of people going there for whatever the reason (clicks?). I saw a guy with a substantial amount of followers call it Sandy 2.0 and when he got called out on it he’s like “I’m just talking about the track,” which was false. This place is fairly rational which is why I read here for a long time before I signed up.

The euro rips 60-70kt at 925 over ORH county Sunday morning.

I can almost live with it if Taunton becomes part of Cape cod Bay.

0.52 3 days of drizzle - first 3 inch month since May...

By 0z that jackpot will be over NYC…the takeaway…it’s gonna rain quite a bit this weekend it seems.

It had better not

The 2026 astronomical summer at DCA averaged 79.4 degrees (8th warmest in DC history), up 1.7 degrees from 2025. Also, the 2026 composite summer at DCA averaged 79.1 degrees (5th warmest in DC history), up 2.1 degrees from 2025.

Sandy? You saying it is the first time since this storm was first talked about. lmfao

Indeed. And the older you get the faster the seasons change. (I'm in my 7th decade now). It's hard to imagine Sept is nearly behind us already. It sucks getting old but its better than the option (tic) Lost track of the banter about whether they are going to "fall back" this year. Hope we keep the daylight as is.

Over 2.5” of rain has fell here since 1:30 today. Creeks are nice and full. Over 4.5” for the week, of much needed rain.

Definitely need more rain; East Asheville has had next to nothing out of the latest storms; still effectively bone dry.

The sun goes down so early now. You don’t realize how fast it changes when you work evenings and miss the sunset each night.