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Exactly, and is getting multiplied for every day in the future. Those that live and die by the OP runs past a day or two are just going to drive themselves insane with this pattern

What is really unfortunate is the fact that the HEI is more extreme than ever, therefore CPK is no longer a good central benchmark for the tri state area and IMO can no longer be leveraged when comparing past snowfall to today.

Thanks. Retired already.

Rain rinse repeat

Nice storm and perfect timing for pack replenish up north for the winter holiday period. Will be plenty of terrain open post Christmas with this snow and snowmaking temps ideal.

Your work is always solid! You do a tremendous job combing through data and laying out reasoning for your thoughts. But you want to get it right, I get that. I'm not really sure if anyone anywhere was really confident how that would go. Tricky situation. I sure had some doubts. Welcome development though for sure.

Temp has really fell off---dropped to 21* now. Time to fire up the snowblower.

Nice antecedent, gets eroded before Sunday though. If that held would be a nice front end

43 / 24 - 48 hour warmup and now in what is a sea of chill. Friday (boxing day) storm a moderate snowfall. Then a miz/rain on the 29th with a storm threat between 30 - 31 - ist. Very cold in the 12/31 - 1/4 period. beyond there some moderation but remaining overall colder than normal as it appear now.

As of the moment…we may be. Wouldn’t take much to pull us out of the game too as we know. Would love to get it to creep a bit more in the positive direction, so more of us can get in on the fun. Plenty of time for movement-in either direction.

If the air temp is still forecast below freezing we will still have problems - just not all snow due to the mid levels.

I work on the 9th floor of my building in lower Manhattan. You could look out the window and see snow at that height. Albeit certainly mixed with rain. On the ground it was just rain. I’ve witnessed this a few times. Definitely heat island.

Fantastic--congrats!

Wow…very nice Jeff.

Hopefully we are in a pretty good spot for this

13". Didn't expect that Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Lol, a 4-6” event would feel like a KU. Let’s hope.

Good news is we can cool down before the Sunday/Monday event.

Modeling can’t seem to get a grip on anything…and now the big blocking just seems to really be exacerbating it…so for sure, we are weary.

16.5” and looks like another band has formed and trying to sink SE

Brian, you got more snow than me. 5.25" final. (around 17" season) I thought I would have had a bit more being slightly closer to the Norlan? Merry Christmas to all.

Hopefully you and Jeff can post a few more snow maps before this event ends. Must be a couple more out there.

When the precip started even the central Jersey shore was 34 degrees while Manhattan was showing 37 so yeah definitely was the HIE.

Final tally from Rainthuen 1.6...fortunately the bulk of the precip came during late afternoon and evening

Definitely an improvement from yesterday, but I have to have pause. Modeling can’t get a grip on the blocking so buyer beware