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Reggie?

Maybe we should start raising the flag with the fork on it. Quite a few letdowns again this winter.

This reminds me of the invt that hit eastern NE recently. Also connected to a strong coastal low.

It started last year especially. Every time it showed something it would end up mirroring the European model even when the European model would go back-and-forth... it always took about two cycles but it would always end up mirroring it. It's just terrible the GFS -nobody can convince me otherwise at this point. And yes I do think the Canadian model is better at this point and the Ukie

RGEM is juicy. 1”+ stripe centered on I66/Rt50 corridor.

That's what GFS had

They do usually move east over time but sometimes they never happen at all. Probably the least predictable of the different features.

And it again it's been cloudy for awhile.

Apologies if this is in the banter category, but The B52s might suggest a Rock Lobster.

If we didn't have Bob and Ryan Gil we'd be screwed with rip and readers.

I feel like that nam shitstreak helps the convergence on Saturday but is more detrimental for the following bigger system.

I'm sticking with what the Euro AI shows but you already know that cause I say it a million times! Euro AI is the new king in town!

RGEM loves Massachusetts

Why did you say Blizzard?

Definitely better there I think than south with the initial thump.

That invt trough has up to .5 qpf. Worst case here is we are right between the two.

What about CNE?

If that inverted trough can move a bit further east we can get an ok snowfall.

too many opinions here. the pros say something might happen, probably won't. go through this all season in boating/fishing season....will we get seasick or rocked at sea or not? if we stay home, the weather will be better than forecast, if we go out, it will be worse.....can't win.

Hrrr too

I’m expecting pretty much zero up this way from Monday. Hopefully it improves

Setup is way different. Not Juno and probably not even close here.

The reality that there’s still multiple different solutions on the table?

Indeed, the SV AI-Weathernext has been terrible because it’s been all over the place, especially for an ensemble mean! The heaviest I’ve posted was this one, the 6Z 2/17 run giving DC ~10” and ~12” for its Mid-Atlantic max centered over C DE: Compare that to the latest (today’s 6Z): DC ~3” with none of the Mid-Atlantic >4”:

Some are hanging their hats on the gfs since it is the most bullish for EOR. Historically, that hat falls on the floor, just ask the pope. Good luck to those weenies.